Forecast consensus from regional and global models indicates a high of 29–31°C in Wuhan on September 2, driven by northerly flow advecting cooler air after recent heat and increased cloud cover or light showers that limit daytime heating. This positions the 30°C outcome (38% implied probability) as the mode, followed closely by 29°C and 31°C, consistent with ensemble guidance showing modest uncertainty from precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 29°C provide climatological support, while official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 2?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 2?
30°C 38%
29°C 27%
31°C 23%
28°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
27%
30°C
38%
31°C
23%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 38%
29°C 27%
31°C 23%
28°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
23°C or below
$336 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$332 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$708 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$245 Vol.
2%
27°C
$40 Vol.
4%
28°C
$117 Vol.
9%
29°C
$1,017 Vol.
27%
30°C
$293 Vol.
38%
31°C
$315 Vol.
23%
32°C
$99 Vol.
7%
33°C or higher
$26 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional and global models indicates a high of 29–31°C in Wuhan on September 2, driven by northerly flow advecting cooler air after recent heat and increased cloud cover or light showers that limit daytime heating. This positions the 30°C outcome (38% implied probability) as the mode, followed closely by 29°C and 31°C, consistent with ensemble guidance showing modest uncertainty from precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 29°C provide climatological support, while official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,528End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional and global models indicates a high of 29–31°C in Wuhan on September 2, driven by northerly flow advecting cooler air after recent heat and increased cloud cover or light showers that limit daytime heating. This positions the 30°C outcome (38% implied probability) as the mode, followed closely by 29°C and 31°C, consistent with ensemble guidance showing modest uncertainty from precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 29°C provide climatological support, while official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,528End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from regional and global models indicates a high of 29–31°C in Wuhan on September 2, driven by northerly flow advecting cooler air after recent heat and increased cloud cover or light showers that limit daytime heating. This positions the 30°C outcome (38% implied probability) as the mode, followed closely by 29°C and 31°C, consistent with ensemble guidance showing modest uncertainty from precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 29°C provide climatological support, while official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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