**Forecast models converge on clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry conditions over Ankara on August 31, supporting a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C under high pressure.** With minimal cloud cover expected, strong solar insolation will drive surface heating during peak afternoon hours, while low dew points (around 9–11 °C) and modest wind speeds limit evaporative cooling and mixing. Recent late-August cooling has stabilized the air mass, reducing the chance of extremes above 30 °C or below 27 °C. The near-even split between 28 °C and 29 °C implied odds reflects minor model spread in boundary-layer details and exact timing of peak heating, typical for late-summer conditions in the region where small variations in wind or insolation can shift the daily high by 1 °C. Official updates from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine this ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 31?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 31?
28°C 45%
29°C 43%
27°C 10%
30°C 1.0%
NEW
$10,179 Vol.
NEW
$10,179 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
10%
28°C
45%
29°C
43%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 45%
29°C 43%
27°C 10%
30°C 1.0%
NEW
$10,179 Vol.
NEW
$10,179 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
$435 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$464 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$358 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,843 Vol.
10%
28°C
$1,690 Vol.
45%
29°C
$3,712 Vol.
43%
30°C
$738 Vol.
1%
31°C
$400 Vol.
1%
32°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$141 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$276 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models converge on clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry conditions over Ankara on August 31, supporting a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C under high pressure.**
With minimal cloud cover expected, strong solar insolation will drive surface heating during peak afternoon hours, while low dew points (around 9–11 °C) and modest wind speeds limit evaporative cooling and mixing. Recent late-August cooling has stabilized the air mass, reducing the chance of extremes above 30 °C or below 27 °C. The near-even split between 28 °C and 29 °C implied odds reflects minor model spread in boundary-layer details and exact timing of peak heating, typical for late-summer conditions in the region where small variations in wind or insolation can shift the daily high by 1 °C. Official updates from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,179End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models converge on clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry conditions over Ankara on August 31, supporting a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C under high pressure.**
With minimal cloud cover expected, strong solar insolation will drive surface heating during peak afternoon hours, while low dew points (around 9–11 °C) and modest wind speeds limit evaporative cooling and mixing. Recent late-August cooling has stabilized the air mass, reducing the chance of extremes above 30 °C or below 27 °C. The near-even split between 28 °C and 29 °C implied odds reflects minor model spread in boundary-layer details and exact timing of peak heating, typical for late-summer conditions in the region where small variations in wind or insolation can shift the daily high by 1 °C. Official updates from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,179End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models converge on clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry conditions over Ankara on August 31, supporting a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C under high pressure.** With minimal cloud cover expected, strong solar insolation will drive surface heating during peak afternoon hours, while low dew points (around 9–11 °C) and modest wind speeds limit evaporative cooling and mixing. Recent late-August cooling has stabilized the air mass, reducing the chance of extremes above 30 °C or below 27 °C. The near-even split between 28 °C and 29 °C implied odds reflects minor model spread in boundary-layer details and exact timing of peak heating, typical for late-summer conditions in the region where small variations in wind or insolation can shift the daily high by 1 °C. Official updates from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine this ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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