Current short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum near 30°C for Ankara on September 1, 2026, under clear to mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly flow. This positions the 30°C outcome as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, with 29°C and 31°C capturing residual model spread. Early-September climatology shows average highs of 28–29°C, and the current setup reflects typical late-summer radiative warming without significant cloud cover or frontal passages that would suppress temperatures. Ensemble guidance and hourly profiles indicate the peak will occur mid-afternoon, with minimal overnight recovery and dew points supporting efficient daytime heating. Any last-minute shift in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could adjust the exact value within the narrow 29–31°C range that dominates trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on September 1?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 1?
30°C 51%
29°C 26%
31°C 22%
28°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
26%
30°C
51%
31°C
22%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 51%
29°C 26%
31°C 22%
28°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
$126 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$182 Vol.
1%
27°C
$95 Vol.
2%
28°C
$250 Vol.
4%
29°C
$449 Vol.
26%
30°C
$438 Vol.
51%
31°C
$535 Vol.
22%
32°C
$141 Vol.
3%
33°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum near 30°C for Ankara on September 1, 2026, under clear to mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly flow. This positions the 30°C outcome as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, with 29°C and 31°C capturing residual model spread. Early-September climatology shows average highs of 28–29°C, and the current setup reflects typical late-summer radiative warming without significant cloud cover or frontal passages that would suppress temperatures. Ensemble guidance and hourly profiles indicate the peak will occur mid-afternoon, with minimal overnight recovery and dew points supporting efficient daytime heating. Any last-minute shift in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could adjust the exact value within the narrow 29–31°C range that dominates trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,607End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum near 30°C for Ankara on September 1, 2026, under clear to mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly flow. This positions the 30°C outcome as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, with 29°C and 31°C capturing residual model spread. Early-September climatology shows average highs of 28–29°C, and the current setup reflects typical late-summer radiative warming without significant cloud cover or frontal passages that would suppress temperatures. Ensemble guidance and hourly profiles indicate the peak will occur mid-afternoon, with minimal overnight recovery and dew points supporting efficient daytime heating. Any last-minute shift in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could adjust the exact value within the narrow 29–31°C range that dominates trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,607End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daily maximum near 30°C for Ankara on September 1, 2026, under clear to mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly flow. This positions the 30°C outcome as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, with 29°C and 31°C capturing residual model spread. Early-September climatology shows average highs of 28–29°C, and the current setup reflects typical late-summer radiative warming without significant cloud cover or frontal passages that would suppress temperatures. Ensemble guidance and hourly profiles indicate the peak will occur mid-afternoon, with minimal overnight recovery and dew points supporting efficient daytime heating. Any last-minute shift in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could adjust the exact value within the narrow 29–31°C range that dominates trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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