Forecast models from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international sources converge on clear skies, light northerly winds, and radiative cooling overnight in Ankara, supporting a minimum temperature of 15 °C as the most probable outcome. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows hover near 16–18 °C under similar high-pressure patterns, and recent hourly guidance shows the mercury bottoming out between 13–16 °C depending on exact station exposure. Strong market-implied odds for 15 °C reflect trader assessment of consistent numerical weather prediction runs and the absence of warmer advection or cloud cover that could blunt nocturnal temperature drops. An earlier arrival of moisture or stronger mixing from variable winds could push the observed low higher, while clearer-than-expected conditions might allow a brief dip toward 14 °C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
15°C 97%
14°C 36%
13°C 5%
12°C 4%
$1,016 Vol.
$1,016 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
5%
14°C
36%
15°C
97%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 97%
14°C 36%
13°C 5%
12°C 4%
$1,016 Vol.
$1,016 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
9°C or below
$150 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$37 Vol.
1%
12°C
$82 Vol.
4%
13°C
$101 Vol.
5%
14°C
$0 Vol.
36%
15°C
$215 Vol.
97%
16°C
$79 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$46 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$238 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international sources converge on clear skies, light northerly winds, and radiative cooling overnight in Ankara, supporting a minimum temperature of 15 °C as the most probable outcome. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows hover near 16–18 °C under similar high-pressure patterns, and recent hourly guidance shows the mercury bottoming out between 13–16 °C depending on exact station exposure. Strong market-implied odds for 15 °C reflect trader assessment of consistent numerical weather prediction runs and the absence of warmer advection or cloud cover that could blunt nocturnal temperature drops. An earlier arrival of moisture or stronger mixing from variable winds could push the observed low higher, while clearer-than-expected conditions might allow a brief dip toward 14 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,016End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international sources converge on clear skies, light northerly winds, and radiative cooling overnight in Ankara, supporting a minimum temperature of 15 °C as the most probable outcome. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows hover near 16–18 °C under similar high-pressure patterns, and recent hourly guidance shows the mercury bottoming out between 13–16 °C depending on exact station exposure. Strong market-implied odds for 15 °C reflect trader assessment of consistent numerical weather prediction runs and the absence of warmer advection or cloud cover that could blunt nocturnal temperature drops. An earlier arrival of moisture or stronger mixing from variable winds could push the observed low higher, while clearer-than-expected conditions might allow a brief dip toward 14 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,016End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international sources converge on clear skies, light northerly winds, and radiative cooling overnight in Ankara, supporting a minimum temperature of 15 °C as the most probable outcome. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows hover near 16–18 °C under similar high-pressure patterns, and recent hourly guidance shows the mercury bottoming out between 13–16 °C depending on exact station exposure. Strong market-implied odds for 15 °C reflect trader assessment of consistent numerical weather prediction runs and the absence of warmer advection or cloud cover that could blunt nocturnal temperature drops. An earlier arrival of moisture or stronger mixing from variable winds could push the observed low higher, while clearer-than-expected conditions might allow a brief dip toward 14 °C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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