Latest forecasts from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration indicate a cooling trend in Wuhan driven by peripheral flows from distant typhoon activity, with expected overnight lows on September 1 in the 23–24 °C range. Multiple guidance sources converge on minimum temperatures near 23–25 °C under increasing cloud cover and northerly winds, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities around 22–24 °C. Minor shifts in timing of cloud breaks or localized wind patterns could still adjust the exact low by 1–2 °C before resolution, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window typical for 48-hour temperature forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 1?
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
22°C 26%
20°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
18°C or below
6%
19°C
6%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
26%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
25%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
22°C 26%
20°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
18°C or below
$255 Vol.
6%
19°C
$29 Vol.
6%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration indicate a cooling trend in Wuhan driven by peripheral flows from distant typhoon activity, with expected overnight lows on September 1 in the 23–24 °C range. Multiple guidance sources converge on minimum temperatures near 23–25 °C under increasing cloud cover and northerly winds, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities around 22–24 °C. Minor shifts in timing of cloud breaks or localized wind patterns could still adjust the exact low by 1–2 °C before resolution, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window typical for 48-hour temperature forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$284End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration indicate a cooling trend in Wuhan driven by peripheral flows from distant typhoon activity, with expected overnight lows on September 1 in the 23–24 °C range. Multiple guidance sources converge on minimum temperatures near 23–25 °C under increasing cloud cover and northerly winds, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities around 22–24 °C. Minor shifts in timing of cloud breaks or localized wind patterns could still adjust the exact low by 1–2 °C before resolution, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window typical for 48-hour temperature forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$284End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration indicate a cooling trend in Wuhan driven by peripheral flows from distant typhoon activity, with expected overnight lows on September 1 in the 23–24 °C range. Multiple guidance sources converge on minimum temperatures near 23–25 °C under increasing cloud cover and northerly winds, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities around 22–24 °C. Minor shifts in timing of cloud breaks or localized wind patterns could still adjust the exact low by 1–2 °C before resolution, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window typical for 48-hour temperature forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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