Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high near 31–32°C for Wuhan on August 31, driven by northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered rain linked to typhoon peripheral flows that have moderated peak insolation. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 32°C (42.5% implied probability) over 33°C (32.5%), as surface observations on August 30 showed highs near 32–34°C before the cooling trend strengthened. Historical late-August baselines in the region average 33–35°C under clearer conditions, but current atmospheric setup favors suppressed maxima. Official daily maximum readings from Wuhan stations will resolve the market, with any late-model shifts potentially adjusting odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 31?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 31?
32°C 43%
33°C 32%
31°C 17%
34°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
43%
33°C
32%
34°C
7%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 43%
33°C 32%
31°C 17%
34°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
27°C or below
$366 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$265 Vol.
1%
29°C
$418 Vol.
1%
30°C
$311 Vol.
4%
31°C
$578 Vol.
17%
32°C
$847 Vol.
43%
33°C
$1,189 Vol.
32%
34°C
$821 Vol.
7%
35°C
$611 Vol.
3%
36°C
$232 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$362 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high near 31–32°C for Wuhan on August 31, driven by northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered rain linked to typhoon peripheral flows that have moderated peak insolation. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 32°C (42.5% implied probability) over 33°C (32.5%), as surface observations on August 30 showed highs near 32–34°C before the cooling trend strengthened. Historical late-August baselines in the region average 33–35°C under clearer conditions, but current atmospheric setup favors suppressed maxima. Official daily maximum readings from Wuhan stations will resolve the market, with any late-model shifts potentially adjusting odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$6,000End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high near 31–32°C for Wuhan on August 31, driven by northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered rain linked to typhoon peripheral flows that have moderated peak insolation. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 32°C (42.5% implied probability) over 33°C (32.5%), as surface observations on August 30 showed highs near 32–34°C before the cooling trend strengthened. Historical late-August baselines in the region average 33–35°C under clearer conditions, but current atmospheric setup favors suppressed maxima. Official daily maximum readings from Wuhan stations will resolve the market, with any late-model shifts potentially adjusting odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,000End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a high near 31–32°C for Wuhan on August 31, driven by northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered rain linked to typhoon peripheral flows that have moderated peak insolation. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 32°C (42.5% implied probability) over 33°C (32.5%), as surface observations on August 30 showed highs near 32–34°C before the cooling trend strengthened. Historical late-August baselines in the region average 33–35°C under clearer conditions, but current atmospheric setup favors suppressed maxima. Official daily maximum readings from Wuhan stations will resolve the market, with any late-model shifts potentially adjusting odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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