Trader consensus on a 33°C peak for Wuhan on August 30 reflects official meteorological observations and model consensus showing maximum temperatures held at that level amid overcast skies, light rain, and northeasterly winds influenced by typhoon peripheral flows. Recent days had seen peaks near 37–38°C under clearer conditions, but the shift to increased cloud cover and precipitation moderated daytime heating, consistent with forecasts from agencies projecting a 26–34°C range with the high settling at 33°C. Historical August averages for the region hover near 32–33°C, providing climatological context for this outcome. The 100% implied probability indicates strong alignment across surface station data and numerical weather prediction runs, with limited upside risk from unexpected clearing. A realistic challenge could arise only from a late-afternoon measurement revision or localized urban heat island effect pushing a single station above the threshold before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
33°C 100.0%
$28,192 Vol.
$28,192 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
33°C
100%
33°C 100.0%
$28,192 Vol.
$28,192 Vol.
Aug 30, 2026
33°C
$4,153 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 33°C peak for Wuhan on August 30 reflects official meteorological observations and model consensus showing maximum temperatures held at that level amid overcast skies, light rain, and northeasterly winds influenced by typhoon peripheral flows. Recent days had seen peaks near 37–38°C under clearer conditions, but the shift to increased cloud cover and precipitation moderated daytime heating, consistent with forecasts from agencies projecting a 26–34°C range with the high settling at 33°C. Historical August averages for the region hover near 32–33°C, providing climatological context for this outcome. The 100% implied probability indicates strong alignment across surface station data and numerical weather prediction runs, with limited upside risk from unexpected clearing. A realistic challenge could arise only from a late-afternoon measurement revision or localized urban heat island effect pushing a single station above the threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$28,192End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 33°C peak for Wuhan on August 30 reflects official meteorological observations and model consensus showing maximum temperatures held at that level amid overcast skies, light rain, and northeasterly winds influenced by typhoon peripheral flows. Recent days had seen peaks near 37–38°C under clearer conditions, but the shift to increased cloud cover and precipitation moderated daytime heating, consistent with forecasts from agencies projecting a 26–34°C range with the high settling at 33°C. Historical August averages for the region hover near 32–33°C, providing climatological context for this outcome. The 100% implied probability indicates strong alignment across surface station data and numerical weather prediction runs, with limited upside risk from unexpected clearing. A realistic challenge could arise only from a late-afternoon measurement revision or localized urban heat island effect pushing a single station above the threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,192End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on a 33°C peak for Wuhan on August 30 reflects official meteorological observations and model consensus showing maximum temperatures held at that level amid overcast skies, light rain, and northeasterly winds influenced by typhoon peripheral flows. Recent days had seen peaks near 37–38°C under clearer conditions, but the shift to increased cloud cover and precipitation moderated daytime heating, consistent with forecasts from agencies projecting a 26–34°C range with the high settling at 33°C. Historical August averages for the region hover near 32–33°C, providing climatological context for this outcome. The 100% implied probability indicates strong alignment across surface station data and numerical weather prediction runs, with limited upside risk from unexpected clearing. A realistic challenge could arise only from a late-afternoon measurement revision or localized urban heat island effect pushing a single station above the threshold before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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