Forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a highest temperature of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the North Atlantic. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to the late-August climatological average near 21°C, with heavy precipitation and wind gusts further suppressing maxima. Trader positioning heavily favors 19°C and 20°C because recent observations on August 30 showed similar values amid ongoing unsettled weather, and short-range guidance shows limited model spread around these thresholds. Minor upside risk to 21°C exists if breaks in cloud allow brief warming, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent rapid clearing. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF will refine timing of showers before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 31?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 31?
20°C 54%
19°C 42%
21°C 5%
18°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
42%
20°C
54%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 54%
19°C 42%
21°C 5%
18°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
14°C or below
$67 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$379 Vol.
1%
18°C
$626 Vol.
4%
19°C
$1,217 Vol.
42%
20°C
$941 Vol.
54%
21°C
$587 Vol.
5%
22°C
$544 Vol.
1%
23°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$399 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a highest temperature of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the North Atlantic. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to the late-August climatological average near 21°C, with heavy precipitation and wind gusts further suppressing maxima. Trader positioning heavily favors 19°C and 20°C because recent observations on August 30 showed similar values amid ongoing unsettled weather, and short-range guidance shows limited model spread around these thresholds. Minor upside risk to 21°C exists if breaks in cloud allow brief warming, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent rapid clearing. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF will refine timing of showers before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,374End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a highest temperature of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the North Atlantic. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to the late-August climatological average near 21°C, with heavy precipitation and wind gusts further suppressing maxima. Trader positioning heavily favors 19°C and 20°C because recent observations on August 30 showed similar values amid ongoing unsettled weather, and short-range guidance shows limited model spread around these thresholds. Minor upside risk to 21°C exists if breaks in cloud allow brief warming, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent rapid clearing. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF will refine timing of showers before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,374End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a highest temperature of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the North Atlantic. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to the late-August climatological average near 21°C, with heavy precipitation and wind gusts further suppressing maxima. Trader positioning heavily favors 19°C and 20°C because recent observations on August 30 showed similar values amid ongoing unsettled weather, and short-range guidance shows limited model spread around these thresholds. Minor upside risk to 21°C exists if breaks in cloud allow brief warming, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent rapid clearing. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI or ECMWF will refine timing of showers before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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