Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 4 point to sunny skies and a high in the low-to-mid 80s under a strong high-pressure ridge, driving the market's heavy weighting toward 84-85°F (48%) and 82-83°F (24.5%). This aligns with broader Pacific Northwest conditions featuring above-average summer temperatures, reduced cloud cover, and light northerly winds that limit marine influence and support daytime warming. Model consensus and climatological baselines for early August, when highs typically reach the mid-70s, reinforce the elevated range, though slight variations in ridge strength or onshore flow could shift final readings within the favored bins. Updated NWS briefings and observational data through the morning will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on August 4?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 4?
84-85°F 46%
82-83°F 28%
80-81°F 8%
86-87°F 8%
NEW
$10,962 Vol.
NEW
$10,962 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
46%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 46%
82-83°F 28%
80-81°F 8%
86-87°F 8%
NEW
$10,962 Vol.
NEW
$10,962 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
75°F or below
$406 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$640 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$851 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,981 Vol.
8%
82-83°F
$572 Vol.
28%
84-85°F
$827 Vol.
46%
86-87°F
$2,205 Vol.
8%
88-89°F
$1,748 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$515 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$823 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$393 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 4 point to sunny skies and a high in the low-to-mid 80s under a strong high-pressure ridge, driving the market's heavy weighting toward 84-85°F (48%) and 82-83°F (24.5%). This aligns with broader Pacific Northwest conditions featuring above-average summer temperatures, reduced cloud cover, and light northerly winds that limit marine influence and support daytime warming. Model consensus and climatological baselines for early August, when highs typically reach the mid-70s, reinforce the elevated range, though slight variations in ridge strength or onshore flow could shift final readings within the favored bins. Updated NWS briefings and observational data through the morning will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$10,962End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 4 point to sunny skies and a high in the low-to-mid 80s under a strong high-pressure ridge, driving the market's heavy weighting toward 84-85°F (48%) and 82-83°F (24.5%). This aligns with broader Pacific Northwest conditions featuring above-average summer temperatures, reduced cloud cover, and light northerly winds that limit marine influence and support daytime warming. Model consensus and climatological baselines for early August, when highs typically reach the mid-70s, reinforce the elevated range, though slight variations in ridge strength or onshore flow could shift final readings within the favored bins. Updated NWS briefings and observational data through the morning will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,962End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 4 point to sunny skies and a high in the low-to-mid 80s under a strong high-pressure ridge, driving the market's heavy weighting toward 84-85°F (48%) and 82-83°F (24.5%). This aligns with broader Pacific Northwest conditions featuring above-average summer temperatures, reduced cloud cover, and light northerly winds that limit marine influence and support daytime warming. Model consensus and climatological baselines for early August, when highs typically reach the mid-70s, reinforce the elevated range, though slight variations in ridge strength or onshore flow could shift final readings within the favored bins. Updated NWS briefings and observational data through the morning will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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