Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are capping coastal warming at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the likely resolution station, producing forecast highs of 76–78°F for August 5. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models highlight this typical early-August pattern, where stratus and westerly winds suppress inland heat advection and limit afternoon maxima near seasonal normals of 76°F. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, with no strong offshore wind or thermal trough expected to push readings into the upper 70s or low 80s. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward the 74–77°F range as the most probable outcome under current atmospheric steering.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 5?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 5?
76-77°F 48%
74-75°F 38%
78-79°F 13%
72-73°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
48%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 48%
74-75°F 38%
78-79°F 13%
72-73°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
67°F or below
$268 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$22 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$592 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$589 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$1,071 Vol.
38%
76-77°F
$1,290 Vol.
48%
78-79°F
$1,259 Vol.
13%
80-81°F
$206 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$217 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$1,340 Vol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are capping coastal warming at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the likely resolution station, producing forecast highs of 76–78°F for August 5. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models highlight this typical early-August pattern, where stratus and westerly winds suppress inland heat advection and limit afternoon maxima near seasonal normals of 76°F. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, with no strong offshore wind or thermal trough expected to push readings into the upper 70s or low 80s. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward the 74–77°F range as the most probable outcome under current atmospheric steering.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$7,115End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are capping coastal warming at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the likely resolution station, producing forecast highs of 76–78°F for August 5. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models highlight this typical early-August pattern, where stratus and westerly winds suppress inland heat advection and limit afternoon maxima near seasonal normals of 76°F. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, with no strong offshore wind or thermal trough expected to push readings into the upper 70s or low 80s. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward the 74–77°F range as the most probable outcome under current atmospheric steering.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,115End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are capping coastal warming at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the likely resolution station, producing forecast highs of 76–78°F for August 5. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models highlight this typical early-August pattern, where stratus and westerly winds suppress inland heat advection and limit afternoon maxima near seasonal normals of 76°F. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, with no strong offshore wind or thermal trough expected to push readings into the upper 70s or low 80s. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward the 74–77°F range as the most probable outcome under current atmospheric steering.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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