Traders have settled on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded in Milan on August 29, reflecting official meteorological observations from primary Italian weather stations that verified this daily maximum. Late-summer atmospheric patterns, including stable high-pressure influence over the Po Valley and moderate advection of warmer air masses, supported conditions consistent with historical late-August baselines of 28–32°C. The 100% market-implied probability underscores the strength of verified station data over model projections, as temperature records rely on standardized measurements at 2 meters height. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include minor revisions from secondary station comparisons or final quality-control adjustments by monitoring agencies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 29?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 29?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$38,304 Vol.
$38,304 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$38,304 Vol.
$38,304 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
23°C or below
$528 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,447 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,577 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,353 Vol.
No
27°C
$807 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,619 Vol.
No
29°C
$9,486 Vol.
No
30°C
$9,374 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$5,711 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,198 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$2,204 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have settled on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded in Milan on August 29, reflecting official meteorological observations from primary Italian weather stations that verified this daily maximum. Late-summer atmospheric patterns, including stable high-pressure influence over the Po Valley and moderate advection of warmer air masses, supported conditions consistent with historical late-August baselines of 28–32°C. The 100% market-implied probability underscores the strength of verified station data over model projections, as temperature records rely on standardized measurements at 2 meters height. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include minor revisions from secondary station comparisons or final quality-control adjustments by monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$38,304End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have settled on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded in Milan on August 29, reflecting official meteorological observations from primary Italian weather stations that verified this daily maximum. Late-summer atmospheric patterns, including stable high-pressure influence over the Po Valley and moderate advection of warmer air masses, supported conditions consistent with historical late-August baselines of 28–32°C. The 100% market-implied probability underscores the strength of verified station data over model projections, as temperature records rely on standardized measurements at 2 meters height. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include minor revisions from secondary station comparisons or final quality-control adjustments by monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,304End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have settled on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded in Milan on August 29, reflecting official meteorological observations from primary Italian weather stations that verified this daily maximum. Late-summer atmospheric patterns, including stable high-pressure influence over the Po Valley and moderate advection of warmer air masses, supported conditions consistent with historical late-August baselines of 28–32°C. The 100% market-implied probability underscores the strength of verified station data over model projections, as temperature records rely on standardized measurements at 2 meters height. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include minor revisions from secondary station comparisons or final quality-control adjustments by monitoring agencies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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