Trader consensus in this market, with 33°C commanding the highest implied probability at 47.5% followed by 34°C at 29%, reflects alignment with Karachi’s climatological August average high near 32–33°C from long-term observations. Coastal moderation from the Arabian Sea, combined with early monsoon moisture and cloud cover, typically caps daytime maxima in this range while suppressing outliers above 35°C. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance notes temperatures in southern Sindh rising from recent 30–31°C readings toward seasonal norms, with AccuWeather’s August 2026 outlook showing daily highs between 31–35°C. Short-range numerical weather prediction updates and official maximum temperature reports will refine resolution probabilities ahead of August 5.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 5?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 5?
33°C 47%
34°C 28%
32°C 22%
31°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
47%
34°C
28%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 47%
34°C 28%
32°C 22%
31°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
27°C or below
$353 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$358 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$65 Vol.
1%
30°C
$304 Vol.
2%
31°C
$117 Vol.
5%
32°C
$58 Vol.
22%
33°C
$194 Vol.
47%
34°C
$313 Vol.
28%
35°C
$91 Vol.
5%
36°C
$20 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$213 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this market, with 33°C commanding the highest implied probability at 47.5% followed by 34°C at 29%, reflects alignment with Karachi’s climatological August average high near 32–33°C from long-term observations. Coastal moderation from the Arabian Sea, combined with early monsoon moisture and cloud cover, typically caps daytime maxima in this range while suppressing outliers above 35°C. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance notes temperatures in southern Sindh rising from recent 30–31°C readings toward seasonal norms, with AccuWeather’s August 2026 outlook showing daily highs between 31–35°C. Short-range numerical weather prediction updates and official maximum temperature reports will refine resolution probabilities ahead of August 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Volume
$2,085End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 1:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this market, with 33°C commanding the highest implied probability at 47.5% followed by 34°C at 29%, reflects alignment with Karachi’s climatological August average high near 32–33°C from long-term observations. Coastal moderation from the Arabian Sea, combined with early monsoon moisture and cloud cover, typically caps daytime maxima in this range while suppressing outliers above 35°C. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance notes temperatures in southern Sindh rising from recent 30–31°C readings toward seasonal norms, with AccuWeather’s August 2026 outlook showing daily highs between 31–35°C. Short-range numerical weather prediction updates and official maximum temperature reports will refine resolution probabilities ahead of August 5.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,085End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 1:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this market, with 33°C commanding the highest implied probability at 47.5% followed by 34°C at 29%, reflects alignment with Karachi’s climatological August average high near 32–33°C from long-term observations. Coastal moderation from the Arabian Sea, combined with early monsoon moisture and cloud cover, typically caps daytime maxima in this range while suppressing outliers above 35°C. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance notes temperatures in southern Sindh rising from recent 30–31°C readings toward seasonal norms, with AccuWeather’s August 2026 outlook showing daily highs between 31–35°C. Short-range numerical weather prediction updates and official maximum temperature reports will refine resolution probabilities ahead of August 5.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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