Forecast consensus from short-range models points to a Cape Town daily maximum of 16–18 °C on 5 August, placing the market’s near-even odds on 17 °C and 18 °C in line with expected conditions. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the region’s Mediterranean climate typically delivers highs near the 17 °C August average under the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and variable westerly winds. Key differentiating factors include the degree of daytime cloud cover, which can suppress warming by 1–2 °C, and any strengthening northerly flow that may allow brief advection of warmer air. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly those resolving boundary-layer mixing and coastal stratus, will likely tighten the spread between the two leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 5?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 5?
17°C 32%
18°C 31%
16°C 24%
19°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
24%
17°C
32%
18°C
31%
19°C
12%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
1%
17°C 32%
18°C 31%
16°C 24%
19°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
12°C or below
$92 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$164 Vol.
2%
15°C
$65 Vol.
5%
16°C
$107 Vol.
24%
17°C
$120 Vol.
32%
18°C
$148 Vol.
31%
19°C
$166 Vol.
12%
20°C
$102 Vol.
4%
21°C
$158 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$928 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from short-range models points to a Cape Town daily maximum of 16–18 °C on 5 August, placing the market’s near-even odds on 17 °C and 18 °C in line with expected conditions. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the region’s Mediterranean climate typically delivers highs near the 17 °C August average under the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and variable westerly winds. Key differentiating factors include the degree of daytime cloud cover, which can suppress warming by 1–2 °C, and any strengthening northerly flow that may allow brief advection of warmer air. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly those resolving boundary-layer mixing and coastal stratus, will likely tighten the spread between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volume
$2,370End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from short-range models points to a Cape Town daily maximum of 16–18 °C on 5 August, placing the market’s near-even odds on 17 °C and 18 °C in line with expected conditions. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the region’s Mediterranean climate typically delivers highs near the 17 °C August average under the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and variable westerly winds. Key differentiating factors include the degree of daytime cloud cover, which can suppress warming by 1–2 °C, and any strengthening northerly flow that may allow brief advection of warmer air. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly those resolving boundary-layer mixing and coastal stratus, will likely tighten the spread between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,370End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 1:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from short-range models points to a Cape Town daily maximum of 16–18 °C on 5 August, placing the market’s near-even odds on 17 °C and 18 °C in line with expected conditions. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the region’s Mediterranean climate typically delivers highs near the 17 °C August average under the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and variable westerly winds. Key differentiating factors include the degree of daytime cloud cover, which can suppress warming by 1–2 °C, and any strengthening northerly flow that may allow brief advection of warmer air. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly those resolving boundary-layer mixing and coastal stratus, will likely tighten the spread between the two leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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