Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a strong North Pacific High and heat-dome pattern are sustaining above-average maximum temperatures across the Seoul-Incheon region, with Korea Meteorological Administration guidance indicating daytime peaks near 33–34°C for August 3. Ensemble forecast models show close agreement on this range amid typical summer humidity and limited initial precipitation, though minor variations in cloud cover, wind patterns, or timing of any frontal influences could shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical August climatology places average highs around 31°C, making the current setup notably warmer, while uncertainty in short-range model runs explains the tight market-implied odds between 33°C and 34°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 3?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 3?
33°C 31%
34°C 31%
32°C 22%
35°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
22%
33°C
31%
34°C
31%
35°C
10%
36°C or higher
5%
33°C 31%
34°C 31%
32°C 22%
35°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
26°C or below
$392 Vol.
1%
27°C
$502 Vol.
1%
28°C
$223 Vol.
1%
29°C
$98 Vol.
2%
30°C
$49 Vol.
4%
31°C
$3 Vol.
9%
32°C
$20 Vol.
22%
33°C
$25 Vol.
31%
34°C
$60 Vol.
31%
35°C
$24 Vol.
10%
36°C or higher
$20 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a strong North Pacific High and heat-dome pattern are sustaining above-average maximum temperatures across the Seoul-Incheon region, with Korea Meteorological Administration guidance indicating daytime peaks near 33–34°C for August 3. Ensemble forecast models show close agreement on this range amid typical summer humidity and limited initial precipitation, though minor variations in cloud cover, wind patterns, or timing of any frontal influences could shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical August climatology places average highs around 31°C, making the current setup notably warmer, while uncertainty in short-range model runs explains the tight market-implied odds between 33°C and 34°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,416End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a strong North Pacific High and heat-dome pattern are sustaining above-average maximum temperatures across the Seoul-Incheon region, with Korea Meteorological Administration guidance indicating daytime peaks near 33–34°C for August 3. Ensemble forecast models show close agreement on this range amid typical summer humidity and limited initial precipitation, though minor variations in cloud cover, wind patterns, or timing of any frontal influences could shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical August climatology places average highs around 31°C, making the current setup notably warmer, while uncertainty in short-range model runs explains the tight market-implied odds between 33°C and 34°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,416End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a strong North Pacific High and heat-dome pattern are sustaining above-average maximum temperatures across the Seoul-Incheon region, with Korea Meteorological Administration guidance indicating daytime peaks near 33–34°C for August 3. Ensemble forecast models show close agreement on this range amid typical summer humidity and limited initial precipitation, though minor variations in cloud cover, wind patterns, or timing of any frontal influences could shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical August climatology places average highs around 31°C, making the current setup notably warmer, while uncertainty in short-range model runs explains the tight market-implied odds between 33°C and 34°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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