**A cold front arriving after Denver’s intense early-August heat wave is the dominant driver behind the market’s tight clustering around 76–81°F highs.** Official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus now project a high near 80°F under partly sunny skies with a 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, a sharp drop from the 100–102°F readings recorded on August 3. Northerly winds, increased patchy smoke, and reduced downslope warming have curtailed daytime heating, while the absence of strong high pressure or clear skies further limits temperature recovery. Historical normals for early August sit near 89°F, so the current setup represents a clear negative departure driven by synoptic cooling. With resolution occurring at the close of the calendar day, any last-minute changes in frontal timing or convective coverage remain the primary variables that could shift the final observed maximum within the favored bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 4?
78-79°F 38%
76-77°F 24%
80-81°F 21%
74-75°F 8%
$23,654 Vol.
$23,654 Vol.
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 38%
76-77°F 24%
80-81°F 21%
74-75°F 8%
$23,654 Vol.
$23,654 Vol.
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...**A cold front arriving after Denver’s intense early-August heat wave is the dominant driver behind the market’s tight clustering around 76–81°F highs.** Official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus now project a high near 80°F under partly sunny skies with a 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, a sharp drop from the 100–102°F readings recorded on August 3. Northerly winds, increased patchy smoke, and reduced downslope warming have curtailed daytime heating, while the absence of strong high pressure or clear skies further limits temperature recovery. Historical normals for early August sit near 89°F, so the current setup represents a clear negative departure driven by synoptic cooling. With resolution occurring at the close of the calendar day, any last-minute changes in frontal timing or convective coverage remain the primary variables that could shift the final observed maximum within the favored bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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