Traders assign the highest probability to a Denver high of 100-101°F on August 3, driven by National Weather Service and global model consensus showing a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Front Range that favors strong daytime heating under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble forecasts from recent runs indicate limited spread around this range, consistent with early-August climatology when highs commonly reach the upper 90s. Dew points, soil moisture, and any afternoon convection remain key variables that could shift the peak by a degree or two. Updated model guidance and the next NWS forecast discussion are the primary near-term data releases likely to influence positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 3?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 3?
100-101°F 37%
98-99°F 27%
96-97°F 19%
102-103°F 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
19%
98-99°F
27%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
2%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 37%
98-99°F 27%
96-97°F 19%
102-103°F 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
91°F or below
$1 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$31 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$26 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$1 Vol.
19%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
27%
100-101°F
$96 Vol.
37%
102-103°F
$102 Vol.
16%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
3%
106-107°F
$36 Vol.
2%
108-109°F
$15 Vol.
2%
110°F or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probability to a Denver high of 100-101°F on August 3, driven by National Weather Service and global model consensus showing a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Front Range that favors strong daytime heating under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble forecasts from recent runs indicate limited spread around this range, consistent with early-August climatology when highs commonly reach the upper 90s. Dew points, soil moisture, and any afternoon convection remain key variables that could shift the peak by a degree or two. Updated model guidance and the next NWS forecast discussion are the primary near-term data releases likely to influence positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$313End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probability to a Denver high of 100-101°F on August 3, driven by National Weather Service and global model consensus showing a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Front Range that favors strong daytime heating under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble forecasts from recent runs indicate limited spread around this range, consistent with early-August climatology when highs commonly reach the upper 90s. Dew points, soil moisture, and any afternoon convection remain key variables that could shift the peak by a degree or two. Updated model guidance and the next NWS forecast discussion are the primary near-term data releases likely to influence positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$313End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probability to a Denver high of 100-101°F on August 3, driven by National Weather Service and global model consensus showing a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Front Range that favors strong daytime heating under clear skies and light winds. Ensemble forecasts from recent runs indicate limited spread around this range, consistent with early-August climatology when highs commonly reach the upper 90s. Dew points, soil moisture, and any afternoon convection remain key variables that could shift the peak by a degree or two. Updated model guidance and the next NWS forecast discussion are the primary near-term data releases likely to influence positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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