Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather position the 100–101°F range as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 3 high, with 102–103°F as a close secondary, reflecting a persistent heat dome and strong subtropical high pressure driving subsidence and enhanced daytime heating across Central Texas. This aligns with August climatology where average highs reach 98°F and recent trends show near- to slightly above-normal summer temperatures. Clear skies and minimal moisture advection support peak readings potentially exceeding 100°F, though any unexpected cloud cover or convective development could temper extremes. The market’s distribution captures model consensus while acknowledging uncertainty in exact maximum values before official observations resolve the contract.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on August 3?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 3?
100-101°F 46%
102-103°F 28%
98-99°F 21%
104-105°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
21%
100-101°F
46%
102-103°F
28%
104-105°F
8%
106-107°F
5%
108-109°F
1%
110°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 46%
102-103°F 28%
98-99°F 21%
104-105°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 3, 2026
91°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$5 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$20 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$14 Vol.
5%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
21%
100-101°F
$162 Vol.
46%
102-103°F
$17 Vol.
28%
104-105°F
$6 Vol.
8%
106-107°F
$4 Vol.
5%
108-109°F
$20 Vol.
1%
110°F or higher
$210 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather position the 100–101°F range as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 3 high, with 102–103°F as a close secondary, reflecting a persistent heat dome and strong subtropical high pressure driving subsidence and enhanced daytime heating across Central Texas. This aligns with August climatology where average highs reach 98°F and recent trends show near- to slightly above-normal summer temperatures. Clear skies and minimal moisture advection support peak readings potentially exceeding 100°F, though any unexpected cloud cover or convective development could temper extremes. The market’s distribution captures model consensus while acknowledging uncertainty in exact maximum values before official observations resolve the contract.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$457End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather position the 100–101°F range as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 3 high, with 102–103°F as a close secondary, reflecting a persistent heat dome and strong subtropical high pressure driving subsidence and enhanced daytime heating across Central Texas. This aligns with August climatology where average highs reach 98°F and recent trends show near- to slightly above-normal summer temperatures. Clear skies and minimal moisture advection support peak readings potentially exceeding 100°F, though any unexpected cloud cover or convective development could temper extremes. The market’s distribution captures model consensus while acknowledging uncertainty in exact maximum values before official observations resolve the contract.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$457End Date
Aug 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather position the 100–101°F range as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 3 high, with 102–103°F as a close secondary, reflecting a persistent heat dome and strong subtropical high pressure driving subsidence and enhanced daytime heating across Central Texas. This aligns with August climatology where average highs reach 98°F and recent trends show near- to slightly above-normal summer temperatures. Clear skies and minimal moisture advection support peak readings potentially exceeding 100°F, though any unexpected cloud cover or convective development could temper extremes. The market’s distribution captures model consensus while acknowledging uncertainty in exact maximum values before official observations resolve the contract.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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