Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 12–13°C as the most probable highest temperature for Buenos Aires on August 10, aligning with trader-implied probabilities near 82% combined. Seasonal winter patterns in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with current high-pressure dominance and limited moisture advection, support subdued daytime maxima around the long-term early-August average of 14–15°C while suppressing warmer outliers. Updated runs show minimal diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies, with official guidance from regional services emphasizing low variability ahead of resolution. This consensus reflects real-time atmospheric observations rather than climatological norms, leaving narrow windows for 11°C or 14°C shifts only if unexpected frontal passages develop overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 10?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 10?
12°C 48%
13°C 35%
11°C 12%
14°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
12%
12°C
48%
13°C
35%
14°C
6%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 48%
13°C 35%
11°C 12%
14°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
7°C or below
$118 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$253 Vol.
1%
9°C
$99 Vol.
1%
10°C
$113 Vol.
2%
11°C
$145 Vol.
12%
12°C
$506 Vol.
48%
13°C
$807 Vol.
35%
14°C
$142 Vol.
6%
15°C
$115 Vol.
2%
16°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$267 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 12–13°C as the most probable highest temperature for Buenos Aires on August 10, aligning with trader-implied probabilities near 82% combined. Seasonal winter patterns in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with current high-pressure dominance and limited moisture advection, support subdued daytime maxima around the long-term early-August average of 14–15°C while suppressing warmer outliers. Updated runs show minimal diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies, with official guidance from regional services emphasizing low variability ahead of resolution. This consensus reflects real-time atmospheric observations rather than climatological norms, leaving narrow windows for 11°C or 14°C shifts only if unexpected frontal passages develop overnight.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,657End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 12–13°C as the most probable highest temperature for Buenos Aires on August 10, aligning with trader-implied probabilities near 82% combined. Seasonal winter patterns in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with current high-pressure dominance and limited moisture advection, support subdued daytime maxima around the long-term early-August average of 14–15°C while suppressing warmer outliers. Updated runs show minimal diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies, with official guidance from regional services emphasizing low variability ahead of resolution. This consensus reflects real-time atmospheric observations rather than climatological norms, leaving narrow windows for 11°C or 14°C shifts only if unexpected frontal passages develop overnight.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,657End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 12–13°C as the most probable highest temperature for Buenos Aires on August 10, aligning with trader-implied probabilities near 82% combined. Seasonal winter patterns in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with current high-pressure dominance and limited moisture advection, support subdued daytime maxima around the long-term early-August average of 14–15°C while suppressing warmer outliers. Updated runs show minimal diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies, with official guidance from regional services emphasizing low variability ahead of resolution. This consensus reflects real-time atmospheric observations rather than climatological norms, leaving narrow windows for 11°C or 14°C shifts only if unexpected frontal passages develop overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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