Recent forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Warsaw minimum temperatures on September 7 will likely fall in the 10–14°C range under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with climatological September lows near 10°C and limited overnight radiative cooling. Market-implied odds nonetheless assign 50% probability to 5°C or below, suggesting traders incorporate uncertainty from model spread, potential for clearer conditions boosting heat loss, or localized microclimate effects. Key resolution hinges on official station readings, with next model updates from ECMWF and local meteorological services poised to shift sentiment as the date nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日华沙最低气温？
9月7日华沙最低气温？
5°C或以下 100%
12°C 50%
10°C 33%
9°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
5°C或以下
100%
6°C
16%
7°C
19%
8°C
20%
9°C
32%
10°C
33%
11°C
32%
12°C
50%
13°C
18%
14°C
15%
15°C或更高
2%
5°C或以下 100%
12°C 50%
10°C 33%
9°C 32%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
5°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
6°C
$0 交易量
16%
7°C
$0 交易量
19%
8°C
$0 交易量
20%
9°C
$0 交易量
32%
10°C
$0 交易量
33%
11°C
$0 交易量
32%
12°C
$0 交易量
50%
13°C
$0 交易量
18%
14°C
$0 交易量
15%
15°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Warsaw minimum temperatures on September 7 will likely fall in the 10–14°C range under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with climatological September lows near 10°C and limited overnight radiative cooling. Market-implied odds nonetheless assign 50% probability to 5°C or below, suggesting traders incorporate uncertainty from model spread, potential for clearer conditions boosting heat loss, or localized microclimate effects. Key resolution hinges on official station readings, with next model updates from ECMWF and local meteorological services poised to shift sentiment as the date nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Warsaw minimum temperatures on September 7 will likely fall in the 10–14°C range under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with climatological September lows near 10°C and limited overnight radiative cooling. Market-implied odds nonetheless assign 50% probability to 5°C or below, suggesting traders incorporate uncertainty from model spread, potential for clearer conditions boosting heat loss, or localized microclimate effects. Key resolution hinges on official station readings, with next model updates from ECMWF and local meteorological services poised to shift sentiment as the date nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate Warsaw minimum temperatures on September 7 will likely fall in the 10–14°C range under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with climatological September lows near 10°C and limited overnight radiative cooling. Market-implied odds nonetheless assign 50% probability to 5°C or below, suggesting traders incorporate uncertainty from model spread, potential for clearer conditions boosting heat loss, or localized microclimate effects. Key resolution hinges on official station readings, with next model updates from ECMWF and local meteorological services poised to shift sentiment as the date nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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