Recent model consensus from sources including the GFS and regional forecasts points to a Shanghai minimum temperature on September 7 in the 22–24°C range, supporting the close market-implied odds between 23°C and 24°C. Northerly flow behind a weak frontal passage is expected to limit overnight radiative cooling while maintaining moderate humidity levels near 70–80%, preventing sharper drops below 22°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima of 20–23°C under similar post-rain, northerly regimes, with limited model spread on this short-range outlook reducing uncertainty for the 24-hour period. Updated runs ahead of the overnight hours will refine any adjustments from evolving cloud cover or wind shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日上海最低气温？
9月7日上海最低气温？
23°C 52%
24°C 31%
27°C 20%
21°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
19°C或以下
8%
20°C
15%
21°C
18%
22°C
7%
23°C
37%
24°C
33%
25°C
16%
26°C
12%
27°C
20%
28°C
2%
29°C或更高
8%
23°C 52%
24°C 31%
27°C 20%
21°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
19°C或以下
$0 交易量
8%
20°C
$0 交易量
15%
21°C
$0 交易量
18%
22°C
$202 交易量
7%
23°C
$26 交易量
37%
24°C
$52 交易量
33%
25°C
$38 交易量
16%
26°C
$31 交易量
12%
27°C
$0 交易量
20%
28°C
$0 交易量
2%
29°C或更高
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the GFS and regional forecasts points to a Shanghai minimum temperature on September 7 in the 22–24°C range, supporting the close market-implied odds between 23°C and 24°C. Northerly flow behind a weak frontal passage is expected to limit overnight radiative cooling while maintaining moderate humidity levels near 70–80%, preventing sharper drops below 22°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima of 20–23°C under similar post-rain, northerly regimes, with limited model spread on this short-range outlook reducing uncertainty for the 24-hour period. Updated runs ahead of the overnight hours will refine any adjustments from evolving cloud cover or wind shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$350结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the GFS and regional forecasts points to a Shanghai minimum temperature on September 7 in the 22–24°C range, supporting the close market-implied odds between 23°C and 24°C. Northerly flow behind a weak frontal passage is expected to limit overnight radiative cooling while maintaining moderate humidity levels near 70–80%, preventing sharper drops below 22°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima of 20–23°C under similar post-rain, northerly regimes, with limited model spread on this short-range outlook reducing uncertainty for the 24-hour period. Updated runs ahead of the overnight hours will refine any adjustments from evolving cloud cover or wind shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$350结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources including the GFS and regional forecasts points to a Shanghai minimum temperature on September 7 in the 22–24°C range, supporting the close market-implied odds between 23°C and 24°C. Northerly flow behind a weak frontal passage is expected to limit overnight radiative cooling while maintaining moderate humidity levels near 70–80%, preventing sharper drops below 22°C. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima of 20–23°C under similar post-rain, northerly regimes, with limited model spread on this short-range outlook reducing uncertainty for the 24-hour period. Updated runs ahead of the overnight hours will refine any adjustments from evolving cloud cover or wind shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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