Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show August 25 minimum temperatures in Milan clustered around 19–21°C, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern with light easterly winds, scattered clouds, and possible overnight showers that could enhance radiative cooling. This produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 17–20°C. Key differentiating factors include exact timing of any thunderstorm activity, which may lower surface temperatures by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling, versus clearer intervals that would support readings near 20°C. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日米兰最低气温？
8月25日米兰最低气温？
24°C or higher 35%
18°C 28%
19°C 28%
16°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
14°C or below
1%
15°C
18%
16°C
27%
17°C
25%
18°C
28%
19°C
28%
20°C
25%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
35%
24°C or higher 35%
18°C 28%
19°C 28%
16°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
14°C or below
$342 交易量
1%
15°C
$10 交易量
18%
16°C
$0 交易量
27%
17°C
$0 交易量
25%
18°C
$0 交易量
28%
19°C
$0 交易量
28%
20°C
$0 交易量
25%
21°C
$63 交易量
3%
22°C
$5 交易量
7%
23°C
$5 交易量
7%
24°C or higher
$60 交易量
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show August 25 minimum temperatures in Milan clustered around 19–21°C, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern with light easterly winds, scattered clouds, and possible overnight showers that could enhance radiative cooling. This produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 17–20°C. Key differentiating factors include exact timing of any thunderstorm activity, which may lower surface temperatures by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling, versus clearer intervals that would support readings near 20°C. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$486结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show August 25 minimum temperatures in Milan clustered around 19–21°C, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern with light easterly winds, scattered clouds, and possible overnight showers that could enhance radiative cooling. This produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 17–20°C. Key differentiating factors include exact timing of any thunderstorm activity, which may lower surface temperatures by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling, versus clearer intervals that would support readings near 20°C. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$486结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show August 25 minimum temperatures in Milan clustered around 19–21°C, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern with light easterly winds, scattered clouds, and possible overnight showers that could enhance radiative cooling. This produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds near 17–20°C. Key differentiating factors include exact timing of any thunderstorm activity, which may lower surface temperatures by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling, versus clearer intervals that would support readings near 20°C. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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