Recent observational data from Milan meteorological stations, including Linate and Malpensa airports, have established a daily minimum of 15°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1018-1019 hPa, aligning precisely with the market's near-100% implied probability. This outcome reflects the absence of significant nocturnal cooling or frontal activity that could have driven temperatures lower, consistent with regional climatology for late August where overnight lows typically range 18-22°C. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supported minimal deviation, with no major updates expected before final daily verification. While unlikely given completed measurements, discrepancies in station reporting or microclimate effects could theoretically prompt minor revisions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日米兰最低气温？
8月23日米兰最低气温？
15°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$5,037 交易量
$5,037 交易量
2026-08-23
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
15°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$5,037 交易量
$5,037 交易量
2026-08-23
13°C or below
$342 交易量
<1%
14°C
$280 交易量
<1%
15°C
$192 交易量
100%
16°C
$357 交易量
<1%
17°C
$524 交易量
<1%
18°C
$237 交易量
<1%
19°C
$628 交易量
1%
20°C
$1,606 交易量
<1%
21°C
$210 交易量
<1%
22°C
$423 交易量
<1%
23°C or higher
$239 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Milan meteorological stations, including Linate and Malpensa airports, have established a daily minimum of 15°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1018-1019 hPa, aligning precisely with the market's near-100% implied probability. This outcome reflects the absence of significant nocturnal cooling or frontal activity that could have driven temperatures lower, consistent with regional climatology for late August where overnight lows typically range 18-22°C. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supported minimal deviation, with no major updates expected before final daily verification. While unlikely given completed measurements, discrepancies in station reporting or microclimate effects could theoretically prompt minor revisions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$5,037结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Milan meteorological stations, including Linate and Malpensa airports, have established a daily minimum of 15°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1018-1019 hPa, aligning precisely with the market's near-100% implied probability. This outcome reflects the absence of significant nocturnal cooling or frontal activity that could have driven temperatures lower, consistent with regional climatology for late August where overnight lows typically range 18-22°C. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supported minimal deviation, with no major updates expected before final daily verification. While unlikely given completed measurements, discrepancies in station reporting or microclimate effects could theoretically prompt minor revisions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,037结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent observational data from Milan meteorological stations, including Linate and Malpensa airports, have established a daily minimum of 15°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure around 1018-1019 hPa, aligning precisely with the market's near-100% implied probability. This outcome reflects the absence of significant nocturnal cooling or frontal activity that could have driven temperatures lower, consistent with regional climatology for late August where overnight lows typically range 18-22°C. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supported minimal deviation, with no major updates expected before final daily verification. While unlikely given completed measurements, discrepancies in station reporting or microclimate effects could theoretically prompt minor revisions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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