**Trader consensus points to an overnight low in the upper 70s for Miami on September 6, with the 78–79°F bin holding the highest implied probability at 41.5%.** Current National Weather Service and model guidance show a typical late-summer pattern of high humidity, light variable winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. Overnight lows have recently ranged from 75–81°F amid this moist airmass, keeping the minimum temperature anchored near the long-term September average of 77°F. No cold front or drier air mass is forecast to arrive before the 6th, so probabilities cluster tightly around 76–79°F. Updated model runs and NHC/NOAA guidance on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture will be the next key data points likely to shift these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日迈阿密最低气温?
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 27%
74-75华氏度 20%
80-81°F 18%
71°F或以下
3%
72-73°F
15%
74-75华氏度
20%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
华氏90度或更高
1%
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 27%
74-75华氏度 20%
80-81°F 18%
71°F或以下
3%
72-73°F
15%
74-75华氏度
20%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
华氏90度或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus points to an overnight low in the upper 70s for Miami on September 6, with the 78–79°F bin holding the highest implied probability at 41.5%.** Current National Weather Service and model guidance show a typical late-summer pattern of high humidity, light variable winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling. Overnight lows have recently ranged from 75–81°F amid this moist airmass, keeping the minimum temperature anchored near the long-term September average of 77°F. No cold front or drier air mass is forecast to arrive before the 6th, so probabilities cluster tightly around 76–79°F. Updated model runs and NHC/NOAA guidance on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture will be the next key data points likely to shift these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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