Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 17–18 °C for Ankara on August 25 under clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and low humidity that favors strong radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–33 °C. This typical late-summer diurnal range produces the closely matched market-implied probabilities for a minimum at or below 15 °C versus 25 °C or higher, reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds that could alter the minimum by a few degrees. Official updates from Turkish meteorological sources and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around the 16–18 °C bins ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日安卡拉最低气温?
25°C或更高 87%
15°C或以下 45%
16°C 28%
17°C 28%
15°C或以下
45%
16°C
28%
17°C
28%
18°C
23%
19°C
17%
20°C
20%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C或更高
87%
25°C或更高 87%
15°C或以下 45%
16°C 28%
17°C 28%
15°C或以下
45%
16°C
28%
17°C
28%
18°C
23%
19°C
17%
20°C
20%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C或更高
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 17–18 °C for Ankara on August 25 under clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and low humidity that favors strong radiative cooling after daytime highs of 31–33 °C. This typical late-summer diurnal range produces the closely matched market-implied probabilities for a minimum at or below 15 °C versus 25 °C or higher, reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds that could alter the minimum by a few degrees. Official updates from Turkish meteorological sources and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around the 16–18 °C bins ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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