Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Ankara on August 24 will likely reach 17–18 °C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, favoring radiational cooling after daytime highs near 32–34 °C. This positions the 17 °C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 51 % implied probability, consistent with historical August minima around 17 °C at the city’s elevation. Recent high-pressure dominance has suppressed cloud cover and moisture, limiting warming overnight, though minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing keeps the 21 °C bin at 38 %. Updated short-range runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日安卡拉最低气温?
18°C 34%
19°C 3%
22°C 2%
20°C <1%
17°C或更低
47%
18°C
34%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
-
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
18°C 34%
19°C 3%
22°C 2%
20°C <1%
17°C或更低
47%
18°C
34%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
-
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Ankara on August 24 will likely reach 17–18 °C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, favoring radiational cooling after daytime highs near 32–34 °C. This positions the 17 °C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 51 % implied probability, consistent with historical August minima around 17 °C at the city’s elevation. Recent high-pressure dominance has suppressed cloud cover and moisture, limiting warming overnight, though minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing keeps the 21 °C bin at 38 %. Updated short-range runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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