The dominant market consensus at 16°C reflects confirmed overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northerly winds, with official station data and model runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service showing a minimum of exactly 16°C as the daily low in Ankara. This aligns with typical late-August patterns where diurnal ranges reach 15–18°C amid dry conditions and moderate humidity, allowing efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 34–35°C. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential microclimate variations at different measurement sites or minor forecast revisions if unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts occur before final verification. Traders have priced in the high certainty of this outcome given the proximity to resolution and consistency across observational datasets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日安卡拉最低气温？
8月23日安卡拉最低气温？
16°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$3,342 交易量
$3,342 交易量
2026-08-23
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
16°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$3,342 交易量
$3,342 交易量
2026-08-23
15°C或以下
$187 交易量
<1%
16°C
$258 交易量
100%
17°C
$511 交易量
<1%
18°C
$594 交易量
<1%
19°C
$393 交易量
<1%
20°C
$389 交易量
<1%
21°C
$254 交易量
<1%
22°C
$194 交易量
<1%
23°C
$194 交易量
<1%
24°C
$184 交易量
<1%
25°C或更高
$184 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market consensus at 16°C reflects confirmed overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northerly winds, with official station data and model runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service showing a minimum of exactly 16°C as the daily low in Ankara. This aligns with typical late-August patterns where diurnal ranges reach 15–18°C amid dry conditions and moderate humidity, allowing efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 34–35°C. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential microclimate variations at different measurement sites or minor forecast revisions if unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts occur before final verification. Traders have priced in the high certainty of this outcome given the proximity to resolution and consistency across observational datasets.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$3,342结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market consensus at 16°C reflects confirmed overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northerly winds, with official station data and model runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service showing a minimum of exactly 16°C as the daily low in Ankara. This aligns with typical late-August patterns where diurnal ranges reach 15–18°C amid dry conditions and moderate humidity, allowing efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 34–35°C. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential microclimate variations at different measurement sites or minor forecast revisions if unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts occur before final verification. Traders have priced in the high certainty of this outcome given the proximity to resolution and consistency across observational datasets.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,342结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThe dominant market consensus at 16°C reflects confirmed overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northerly winds, with official station data and model runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service showing a minimum of exactly 16°C as the daily low in Ankara. This aligns with typical late-August patterns where diurnal ranges reach 15–18°C amid dry conditions and moderate humidity, allowing efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 34–35°C. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential microclimate variations at different measurement sites or minor forecast revisions if unexpected cloud cover or wind shifts occur before final verification. Traders have priced in the high certainty of this outcome given the proximity to resolution and consistency across observational datasets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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