Official forecasts from Turkey’s Meteorological General Directorate and converging international models show Ankara reaching a daytime maximum of 35 °C on August 23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity near 15–25 %. Afternoon observations confirm temperatures climbing to 34–35 °C without evidence of further intensification. This strong observational and model consensus underpins the 99.6 % market-implied probability for exactly 35 °C. Only a late-day surge from unforecast subsidence or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically push readings to 36 °C or higher, while increased cloud cover or measurement timing differences remain the main, albeit low-probability, paths to a lower outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日安卡拉的最高温度？
8月23日安卡拉的最高温度？
35°C 99.5%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$22,232 交易量
$22,232 交易量
2026-08-23
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 99.5%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$22,232 交易量
$22,232 交易量
2026-08-23
30°C or below
$157 交易量
<1%
31°C
$524 交易量
<1%
32°C
$958 交易量
<1%
33°C
$1,976 交易量
<1%
34°C
$5,894 交易量
<1%
35°C
$6,373 交易量
100%
36°C
$2,932 交易量
<1%
37°C
$2,439 交易量
<1%
38°C
$278 交易量
<1%
39°C
$175 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$525 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Turkey’s Meteorological General Directorate and converging international models show Ankara reaching a daytime maximum of 35 °C on August 23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity near 15–25 %. Afternoon observations confirm temperatures climbing to 34–35 °C without evidence of further intensification. This strong observational and model consensus underpins the 99.6 % market-implied probability for exactly 35 °C. Only a late-day surge from unforecast subsidence or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically push readings to 36 °C or higher, while increased cloud cover or measurement timing differences remain the main, albeit low-probability, paths to a lower outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$22,232结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Turkey’s Meteorological General Directorate and converging international models show Ankara reaching a daytime maximum of 35 °C on August 23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity near 15–25 %. Afternoon observations confirm temperatures climbing to 34–35 °C without evidence of further intensification. This strong observational and model consensus underpins the 99.6 % market-implied probability for exactly 35 °C. Only a late-day surge from unforecast subsidence or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically push readings to 36 °C or higher, while increased cloud cover or measurement timing differences remain the main, albeit low-probability, paths to a lower outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,232结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETOfficial forecasts from Turkey’s Meteorological General Directorate and converging international models show Ankara reaching a daytime maximum of 35 °C on August 23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity near 15–25 %. Afternoon observations confirm temperatures climbing to 34–35 °C without evidence of further intensification. This strong observational and model consensus underpins the 99.6 % market-implied probability for exactly 35 °C. Only a late-day surge from unforecast subsidence or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically push readings to 36 °C or higher, while increased cloud cover or measurement timing differences remain the main, albeit low-probability, paths to a lower outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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