Official meteorological observations and forecast models for Wuhan on September 5, 2026, converged on a daily maximum of 31°C under mostly cloudy to clearing skies with light northeasterly winds and low precipitation risk. Subtropical early-September climatology, featuring typical highs near 30–32°C and minimal frontal activity, reinforced this outcome, with hourly data showing gradual afternoon warming to that threshold before evening cooling. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with verified station readings from authoritative agencies. Only an unexpected late surge from localized heating or measurement variance across urban stations could realistically shift resolution to adjacent bins, though current conditions make such deviations improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日武汉气温最高?
31°C 99.8%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$35,800 交易量
$35,800 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或以上
<1%
31°C 99.8%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$35,800 交易量
$35,800 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official meteorological observations and forecast models for Wuhan on September 5, 2026, converged on a daily maximum of 31°C under mostly cloudy to clearing skies with light northeasterly winds and low precipitation risk. Subtropical early-September climatology, featuring typical highs near 30–32°C and minimal frontal activity, reinforced this outcome, with hourly data showing gradual afternoon warming to that threshold before evening cooling. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with verified station readings from authoritative agencies. Only an unexpected late surge from localized heating or measurement variance across urban stations could realistically shift resolution to adjacent bins, though current conditions make such deviations improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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