Official forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models such as GFS indicate Tokyo’s September 5 maximum will reach approximately 25°C under persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and periods of light to moderate rain that limit daytime heating. Real-time observations through mid-afternoon show surface temperatures hovering near 24–25°C with high humidity and dew points around 20°C, consistent with the market-implied 99.7% probability on exactly 25°C. Historical September baselines near 27–28°C are suppressed today by the regional synoptic pattern. Only a late-day clearing or station-specific microclimate deviation could realistically shift the recorded high outside the narrow 24–26°C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日东京气温最高？
9月5日东京气温最高？
25°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
21℃或以下 <1%
$89,894 交易量
$89,894 交易量
2026-09-05
21℃或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
25°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
21℃或以下 <1%
$89,894 交易量
$89,894 交易量
2026-09-05
21℃或以下
$1,998 交易量
<1%
22°C
$10,332 交易量
<1%
23°C
$14,480 交易量
<1%
24°C
$13,341 交易量
<1%
25°C
$8,956 交易量
100%
26°C
$8,680 交易量
<1%
27°C
$6,763 交易量
1%
28°C
$4,185 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,135 交易量
<1%
30°C
$2,118 交易量
<1%
31°C或更高
$17,908 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models such as GFS indicate Tokyo’s September 5 maximum will reach approximately 25°C under persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and periods of light to moderate rain that limit daytime heating. Real-time observations through mid-afternoon show surface temperatures hovering near 24–25°C with high humidity and dew points around 20°C, consistent with the market-implied 99.7% probability on exactly 25°C. Historical September baselines near 27–28°C are suppressed today by the regional synoptic pattern. Only a late-day clearing or station-specific microclimate deviation could realistically shift the recorded high outside the narrow 24–26°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$89,894结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models such as GFS indicate Tokyo’s September 5 maximum will reach approximately 25°C under persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and periods of light to moderate rain that limit daytime heating. Real-time observations through mid-afternoon show surface temperatures hovering near 24–25°C with high humidity and dew points around 20°C, consistent with the market-implied 99.7% probability on exactly 25°C. Historical September baselines near 27–28°C are suppressed today by the regional synoptic pattern. Only a late-day clearing or station-specific microclimate deviation could realistically shift the recorded high outside the narrow 24–26°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$89,894结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETOfficial forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models such as GFS indicate Tokyo’s September 5 maximum will reach approximately 25°C under persistent cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and periods of light to moderate rain that limit daytime heating. Real-time observations through mid-afternoon show surface temperatures hovering near 24–25°C with high humidity and dew points around 20°C, consistent with the market-implied 99.7% probability on exactly 25°C. Historical September baselines near 27–28°C are suppressed today by the regional synoptic pattern. Only a late-day clearing or station-specific microclimate deviation could realistically shift the recorded high outside the narrow 24–26°C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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