Traders have overwhelmingly positioned for a 32°C high in Tel Aviv today, reflecting strong model consensus from sources such as GFS and local meteorological guidance projecting afternoon peaks near 31–32°C under mostly clear, sunny conditions with light westerly winds. Current observations align with this trajectory, as temperatures have climbed steadily through the morning toward the upper 20s°C amid typical early-September subsidence and sea-breeze moderation. Historical September maxima for the region average around 31°C, providing additional context for the implied probability. A realistic shift away from 32°C would require sustained cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or measurement variance at the official station that pulls the daily peak below the threshold or into the next bin, though no such developments appear in the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日特拉维夫的最高温度?
32°C 99%
33°C 4%
34°C <1%
29°C或以下 <1%
$17,864 交易量
$17,864 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39℃或更高
<1%
32°C 99%
33°C 4%
34°C <1%
29°C或以下 <1%
$17,864 交易量
$17,864 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39℃或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders have overwhelmingly positioned for a 32°C high in Tel Aviv today, reflecting strong model consensus from sources such as GFS and local meteorological guidance projecting afternoon peaks near 31–32°C under mostly clear, sunny conditions with light westerly winds. Current observations align with this trajectory, as temperatures have climbed steadily through the morning toward the upper 20s°C amid typical early-September subsidence and sea-breeze moderation. Historical September maxima for the region average around 31°C, providing additional context for the implied probability. A realistic shift away from 32°C would require sustained cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or measurement variance at the official station that pulls the daily peak below the threshold or into the next bin, though no such developments appear in the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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