**Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate a daytime maximum of 22–23°C in Munich on September 19 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 23°C (64% implied probability) and 22°C (25.5%), as multiple 10-day outlooks converge on highs near 72–73°F (22–23°C) with afternoon clearing and stable high pressure supporting modest warming above the September climatological average of ~19°C. Key drivers include persistent warm air advection and reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar heating during peak insolation hours, without significant cold fronts or moisture to suppress temperatures. Model agreement remains high with low uncertainty ranges, though minor variations in cloud timing could nudge the exact peak by 1°C. Historical records show September 19 highs reaching 28.7°C in extreme years, but current synoptic patterns point to a more moderate outcome well below that threshold. No major forecast revisions have occurred in the past 24 hours, reinforcing trader positioning around these central values ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日慕尼黑的最高温度？
9月19日慕尼黑的最高温度？
23°C 65%
22°C 26%
24°C 10%
21°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
19°C或以下
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
26%
23°C
65%
24°C
10%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
23°C 65%
22°C 26%
24°C 10%
21°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
19°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
20°C
$126 交易量
2%
21°C
$333 交易量
3%
22°C
$1,189 交易量
26%
23°C
$1,089 交易量
65%
24°C
$483 交易量
10%
25°C
$215 交易量
2%
26°C
$66 交易量
1%
27°C
$297 交易量
<1%
28°C
$169 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$169 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate a daytime maximum of 22–23°C in Munich on September 19 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 23°C (64% implied probability) and 22°C (25.5%), as multiple 10-day outlooks converge on highs near 72–73°F (22–23°C) with afternoon clearing and stable high pressure supporting modest warming above the September climatological average of ~19°C.
Key drivers include persistent warm air advection and reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar heating during peak insolation hours, without significant cold fronts or moisture to suppress temperatures. Model agreement remains high with low uncertainty ranges, though minor variations in cloud timing could nudge the exact peak by 1°C. Historical records show September 19 highs reaching 28.7°C in extreme years, but current synoptic patterns point to a more moderate outcome well below that threshold. No major forecast revisions have occurred in the past 24 hours, reinforcing trader positioning around these central values ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,916结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate a daytime maximum of 22–23°C in Munich on September 19 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 23°C (64% implied probability) and 22°C (25.5%), as multiple 10-day outlooks converge on highs near 72–73°F (22–23°C) with afternoon clearing and stable high pressure supporting modest warming above the September climatological average of ~19°C.
Key drivers include persistent warm air advection and reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar heating during peak insolation hours, without significant cold fronts or moisture to suppress temperatures. Model agreement remains high with low uncertainty ranges, though minor variations in cloud timing could nudge the exact peak by 1°C. Historical records show September 19 highs reaching 28.7°C in extreme years, but current synoptic patterns point to a more moderate outcome well below that threshold. No major forecast revisions have occurred in the past 24 hours, reinforcing trader positioning around these central values ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,916结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate a daytime maximum of 22–23°C in Munich on September 19 under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk.** This aligns with the market's strong consensus on 23°C (64% implied probability) and 22°C (25.5%), as multiple 10-day outlooks converge on highs near 72–73°F (22–23°C) with afternoon clearing and stable high pressure supporting modest warming above the September climatological average of ~19°C. Key drivers include persistent warm air advection and reduced cloud cover allowing greater solar heating during peak insolation hours, without significant cold fronts or moisture to suppress temperatures. Model agreement remains high with low uncertainty ranges, though minor variations in cloud timing could nudge the exact peak by 1°C. Historical records show September 19 highs reaching 28.7°C in extreme years, but current synoptic patterns point to a more moderate outcome well below that threshold. No major forecast revisions have occurred in the past 24 hours, reinforcing trader positioning around these central values ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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