Current forecasts from Philippine meteorological authorities and regional models indicate Manila's daily high will reach exactly 33°C today, supported by stable atmospheric conditions, typical September humidity levels, and minimal convective activity. This aligns with recent observational trends showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range under prevailing easterly flow and limited monsoon influence. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance, where model agreement is high and historical variability for the date rarely exceeds one degree. An unexpected shift in steering winds or localized thunderstorm development could still push readings to 34°C or drop them below 33°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the latest data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日马尼拉的最高温度？
9月18日马尼拉的最高温度？
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
$40,255 交易量
$40,255 交易量
2026-09-18
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
$40,255 交易量
$40,255 交易量
2026-09-18
28°C或以下
$674 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,315 交易量
<1%
30°C
$3,439 交易量
<1%
31°C
$7,370 交易量
<1%
32°C
$5,218 交易量
<1%
33°C
$14,383 交易量
100%
34°C
$3,572 交易量
<1%
35°C
$2,577 交易量
<1%
36°C
$1,253 交易量
<1%
37°C
$199 交易量
<1%
38°C或更高
$255 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Philippine meteorological authorities and regional models indicate Manila's daily high will reach exactly 33°C today, supported by stable atmospheric conditions, typical September humidity levels, and minimal convective activity. This aligns with recent observational trends showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range under prevailing easterly flow and limited monsoon influence. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance, where model agreement is high and historical variability for the date rarely exceeds one degree. An unexpected shift in steering winds or localized thunderstorm development could still push readings to 34°C or drop them below 33°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the latest data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$40,255结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Philippine meteorological authorities and regional models indicate Manila's daily high will reach exactly 33°C today, supported by stable atmospheric conditions, typical September humidity levels, and minimal convective activity. This aligns with recent observational trends showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range under prevailing easterly flow and limited monsoon influence. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance, where model agreement is high and historical variability for the date rarely exceeds one degree. An unexpected shift in steering winds or localized thunderstorm development could still push readings to 34°C or drop them below 33°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the latest data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$40,255结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ETCurrent forecasts from Philippine meteorological authorities and regional models indicate Manila's daily high will reach exactly 33°C today, supported by stable atmospheric conditions, typical September humidity levels, and minimal convective activity. This aligns with recent observational trends showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range under prevailing easterly flow and limited monsoon influence. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance, where model agreement is high and historical variability for the date rarely exceeds one degree. An unexpected shift in steering winds or localized thunderstorm development could still push readings to 34°C or drop them below 33°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given the latest data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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