Recent forecast guidance for Tokyo on September 18 points to a maximum temperature in the 23–25°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual moisture from prior days of rain that limit daytime heating. Multiple models show afternoon readings peaking near 24°C amid overcast skies and a 30–40% chance of light rain, with surface pressures around 1020 hPa supporting stable conditions. The close market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects uncertainty over whether brief clearing or shower timing allows an extra degree of warming, consistent with typical mid-September variability under post-frontal northerly flow. Updated model runs expected later today could refine the exact peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日东京气温最高？
9月18日东京气温最高？
24°C 40%
25°C 33%
23°C 18%
26°C 8%
最新
$10,621 交易量
最新
$10,621 交易量
2026-09-18
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
18%
24°C
40%
25°C
33%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
24°C 40%
25°C 33%
23°C 18%
26°C 8%
最新
$10,621 交易量
最新
$10,621 交易量
2026-09-18
19°C或以下
$1,379 交易量
<1%
20°C
$392 交易量
<1%
21°C
$289 交易量
2%
22°C
$435 交易量
5%
23°C
$2,537 交易量
18%
24°C
$1,389 交易量
40%
25°C
$1,940 交易量
33%
26°C
$696 交易量
8%
27°C
$397 交易量
2%
28°C
$359 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$809 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Tokyo on September 18 points to a maximum temperature in the 23–25°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual moisture from prior days of rain that limit daytime heating. Multiple models show afternoon readings peaking near 24°C amid overcast skies and a 30–40% chance of light rain, with surface pressures around 1020 hPa supporting stable conditions. The close market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects uncertainty over whether brief clearing or shower timing allows an extra degree of warming, consistent with typical mid-September variability under post-frontal northerly flow. Updated model runs expected later today could refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,621结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Tokyo on September 18 points to a maximum temperature in the 23–25°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual moisture from prior days of rain that limit daytime heating. Multiple models show afternoon readings peaking near 24°C amid overcast skies and a 30–40% chance of light rain, with surface pressures around 1020 hPa supporting stable conditions. The close market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects uncertainty over whether brief clearing or shower timing allows an extra degree of warming, consistent with typical mid-September variability under post-frontal northerly flow. Updated model runs expected later today could refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,621结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast guidance for Tokyo on September 18 points to a maximum temperature in the 23–25°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual moisture from prior days of rain that limit daytime heating. Multiple models show afternoon readings peaking near 24°C amid overcast skies and a 30–40% chance of light rain, with surface pressures around 1020 hPa supporting stable conditions. The close market split between 24°C and 25°C reflects uncertainty over whether brief clearing or shower timing allows an extra degree of warming, consistent with typical mid-September variability under post-frontal northerly flow. Updated model runs expected later today could refine the exact peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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