Trader consensus for Tokyo's minimum temperature on September 18 clusters tightly around 19–20°C because short-range forecast models show only modest differences in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds. Current conditions feature a building high-pressure ridge that favors clearer skies and greater heat loss after sunset, though residual moisture from recent Pacific inflows could limit the drop. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble runs indicate typical mid-September lows near 21–22°C, with the 1–2°C spread hinging on exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model cycles and observational data releases later today will refine these variables ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日东京最低气温？
9月18日东京最低气温？
19°C 43%
20°C 36%
21°C 13%
22°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
8%
18°C
10%
19°C
43%
20°C
36%
21°C
13%
22°C
12%
23°C
5%
24°C或更高
1%
19°C 43%
20°C 36%
21°C 13%
22°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
14°C或以下
$53 交易量
1%
15°C
$53 交易量
1%
16°C
$0 交易量
<1%
17°C
$0 交易量
8%
18°C
$243 交易量
10%
19°C
$1,339 交易量
43%
20°C
$924 交易量
36%
21°C
$16 交易量
13%
22°C
$0 交易量
12%
23°C
$0 交易量
5%
24°C或更高
$29 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Tokyo's minimum temperature on September 18 clusters tightly around 19–20°C because short-range forecast models show only modest differences in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds. Current conditions feature a building high-pressure ridge that favors clearer skies and greater heat loss after sunset, though residual moisture from recent Pacific inflows could limit the drop. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble runs indicate typical mid-September lows near 21–22°C, with the 1–2°C spread hinging on exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model cycles and observational data releases later today will refine these variables ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,657结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Tokyo's minimum temperature on September 18 clusters tightly around 19–20°C because short-range forecast models show only modest differences in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds. Current conditions feature a building high-pressure ridge that favors clearer skies and greater heat loss after sunset, though residual moisture from recent Pacific inflows could limit the drop. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble runs indicate typical mid-September lows near 21–22°C, with the 1–2°C spread hinging on exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model cycles and observational data releases later today will refine these variables ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,657结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTrader consensus for Tokyo's minimum temperature on September 18 clusters tightly around 19–20°C because short-range forecast models show only modest differences in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds. Current conditions feature a building high-pressure ridge that favors clearer skies and greater heat loss after sunset, though residual moisture from recent Pacific inflows could limit the drop. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble runs indicate typical mid-September lows near 21–22°C, with the 1–2°C spread hinging on exact wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model cycles and observational data releases later today will refine these variables ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题