**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory place the September 17 high in the 31–32°C range under a fresh northeast monsoon and upper-level anticyclone that maintain fine, dry conditions with easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5 offshore.** Low humidity (55–85%) and minimal rain probability support strong daytime heating, while soil temperatures near 30°C and sea surface temperatures around 28°C provide a warm baseline. Trader sentiment clusters on 31°C (45%) and 32°C (36.5%) because model runs and local observations show only minor differences in peak solar insolation, wind mixing, and any thin cloud development that could shave or add a degree. Stronger sustained winds or slightly higher moisture would favor the lower end, whereas clearer skies and lighter flow would push toward 32°C. Updated HKO guidance and afternoon observations on the 17th will resolve the narrow spread.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日香港气温最高？
9月17日香港气温最高？
31°C 45%
32°C 36%
30°C 12%
33°C 6%
最新
$16,939 交易量
最新
$16,939 交易量
2026-09-17
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
12%
31°C
45%
32°C
36%
33°C
6%
34°C或以上
<1%
31°C 45%
32°C 36%
30°C 12%
33°C 6%
最新
$16,939 交易量
最新
$16,939 交易量
2026-09-17
24°C或以下
$439 交易量
<1%
25°C
$253 交易量
<1%
26°C
$400 交易量
<1%
27°C
$493 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,070 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,541 交易量
4%
30°C
$2,830 交易量
12%
31°C
$1,892 交易量
45%
32°C
$5,316 交易量
36%
33°C
$966 交易量
6%
34°C或以上
$1,741 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory place the September 17 high in the 31–32°C range under a fresh northeast monsoon and upper-level anticyclone that maintain fine, dry conditions with easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5 offshore.** Low humidity (55–85%) and minimal rain probability support strong daytime heating, while soil temperatures near 30°C and sea surface temperatures around 28°C provide a warm baseline. Trader sentiment clusters on 31°C (45%) and 32°C (36.5%) because model runs and local observations show only minor differences in peak solar insolation, wind mixing, and any thin cloud development that could shave or add a degree. Stronger sustained winds or slightly higher moisture would favor the lower end, whereas clearer skies and lighter flow would push toward 32°C. Updated HKO guidance and afternoon observations on the 17th will resolve the narrow spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$16,939结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory place the September 17 high in the 31–32°C range under a fresh northeast monsoon and upper-level anticyclone that maintain fine, dry conditions with easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5 offshore.** Low humidity (55–85%) and minimal rain probability support strong daytime heating, while soil temperatures near 30°C and sea surface temperatures around 28°C provide a warm baseline. Trader sentiment clusters on 31°C (45%) and 32°C (36.5%) because model runs and local observations show only minor differences in peak solar insolation, wind mixing, and any thin cloud development that could shave or add a degree. Stronger sustained winds or slightly higher moisture would favor the lower end, whereas clearer skies and lighter flow would push toward 32°C. Updated HKO guidance and afternoon observations on the 17th will resolve the narrow spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$16,939结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory place the September 17 high in the 31–32°C range under a fresh northeast monsoon and upper-level anticyclone that maintain fine, dry conditions with easterly winds of force 4, occasionally 5 offshore.** Low humidity (55–85%) and minimal rain probability support strong daytime heating, while soil temperatures near 30°C and sea surface temperatures around 28°C provide a warm baseline. Trader sentiment clusters on 31°C (45%) and 32°C (36.5%) because model runs and local observations show only minor differences in peak solar insolation, wind mixing, and any thin cloud development that could shave or add a degree. Stronger sustained winds or slightly higher moisture would favor the lower end, whereas clearer skies and lighter flow would push toward 32°C. Updated HKO guidance and afternoon observations on the 17th will resolve the narrow spread.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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