**Trader consensus has locked onto 23°C as the day's peak temperature at the NOAA Paris-Le Bourget station, reflecting real-time observational data and final readings.** Multiple forecast models (Météo-France, GFS, ECMWF) converged on a maximum near 22–23°C after cooler northwest maritime air arrived following the prior day's 31–33°C spike. Increased cloud cover, light winds, and limited surface heating kept values close to the late-September climatological average of ~21.5°C, with afternoon readings stabilizing in the low-20s°C range under partly cloudy to variable skies. This strong alignment of station measurements and model guidance underpins the near-certain market-implied probability. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day spike or measurement revision exceeding the 23°C threshold, though current conditions and timing make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日巴黎气温最高？
9月16日巴黎气温最高？
23°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$68,843 交易量
$68,843 交易量
2026-09-16
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
23°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$68,843 交易量
$68,843 交易量
2026-09-16
18°C或以下
$1,854 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,490 交易量
<1%
20°C
$3,695 交易量
<1%
21°C
$10,417 交易量
<1%
22°C
$12,345 交易量
<1%
23°C
$21,586 交易量
100%
24°C
$9,703 交易量
<1%
25°C
$3,690 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,139 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,594 交易量
<1%
28°C或更高
$1,453 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked onto 23°C as the day's peak temperature at the NOAA Paris-Le Bourget station, reflecting real-time observational data and final readings.**
Multiple forecast models (Météo-France, GFS, ECMWF) converged on a maximum near 22–23°C after cooler northwest maritime air arrived following the prior day's 31–33°C spike. Increased cloud cover, light winds, and limited surface heating kept values close to the late-September climatological average of ~21.5°C, with afternoon readings stabilizing in the low-20s°C range under partly cloudy to variable skies. This strong alignment of station measurements and model guidance underpins the near-certain market-implied probability.
A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day spike or measurement revision exceeding the 23°C threshold, though current conditions and timing make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$68,843结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked onto 23°C as the day's peak temperature at the NOAA Paris-Le Bourget station, reflecting real-time observational data and final readings.**
Multiple forecast models (Météo-France, GFS, ECMWF) converged on a maximum near 22–23°C after cooler northwest maritime air arrived following the prior day's 31–33°C spike. Increased cloud cover, light winds, and limited surface heating kept values close to the late-September climatological average of ~21.5°C, with afternoon readings stabilizing in the low-20s°C range under partly cloudy to variable skies. This strong alignment of station measurements and model guidance underpins the near-certain market-implied probability.
A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day spike or measurement revision exceeding the 23°C threshold, though current conditions and timing make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$68,843结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET**Trader consensus has locked onto 23°C as the day's peak temperature at the NOAA Paris-Le Bourget station, reflecting real-time observational data and final readings.** Multiple forecast models (Météo-France, GFS, ECMWF) converged on a maximum near 22–23°C after cooler northwest maritime air arrived following the prior day's 31–33°C spike. Increased cloud cover, light winds, and limited surface heating kept values close to the late-September climatological average of ~21.5°C, with afternoon readings stabilizing in the low-20s°C range under partly cloudy to variable skies. This strong alignment of station measurements and model guidance underpins the near-certain market-implied probability. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day spike or measurement revision exceeding the 23°C threshold, though current conditions and timing make such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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