Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a 27–32°C range for September 18 under fine, dry conditions driven by a fresh northeast monsoon and upper-level anticyclone. Clear skies promote strong daytime insolation while moderate easterly winds (force 4, occasionally 5) and low precipitation probability limit cloud formation and evaporative cooling. Dry air masses reduce latent heat release, supporting peak temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal September average of roughly 30–31°C. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind gust timing, and any residual moisture advection create the narrow spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes reflected in trader positioning. Updated HKO guidance and refined numerical model runs before the 18th will further narrow the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日香港气温最高？
9月18日香港气温最高？
32°C 38%
31°C 36%
30°C 15%
33°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
15%
31°C
36%
32°C
38%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C或更高
1%
32°C 38%
31°C 36%
30°C 15%
33°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
25°C或以下
$379 交易量
<1%
26°C
$259 交易量
1%
27°C
$244 交易量
1%
28°C
$186 交易量
1%
29°C
$111 交易量
4%
30°C
$141 交易量
15%
31°C
$354 交易量
36%
32°C
$846 交易量
38%
33°C
$322 交易量
11%
34°C
$312 交易量
3%
35°C或更高
$339 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a 27–32°C range for September 18 under fine, dry conditions driven by a fresh northeast monsoon and upper-level anticyclone. Clear skies promote strong daytime insolation while moderate easterly winds (force 4, occasionally 5) and low precipitation probability limit cloud formation and evaporative cooling. Dry air masses reduce latent heat release, supporting peak temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal September average of roughly 30–31°C. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind gust timing, and any residual moisture advection create the narrow spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes reflected in trader positioning. Updated HKO guidance and refined numerical model runs before the 18th will further narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,494结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a 27–32°C range for September 18 under fine, dry conditions driven by a fresh northeast monsoon and upper-level anticyclone. Clear skies promote strong daytime insolation while moderate easterly winds (force 4, occasionally 5) and low precipitation probability limit cloud formation and evaporative cooling. Dry air masses reduce latent heat release, supporting peak temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal September average of roughly 30–31°C. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind gust timing, and any residual moisture advection create the narrow spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes reflected in trader positioning. Updated HKO guidance and refined numerical model runs before the 18th will further narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,494结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a 27–32°C range for September 18 under fine, dry conditions driven by a fresh northeast monsoon and upper-level anticyclone. Clear skies promote strong daytime insolation while moderate easterly winds (force 4, occasionally 5) and low precipitation probability limit cloud formation and evaporative cooling. Dry air masses reduce latent heat release, supporting peak temperatures near or slightly above the seasonal September average of roughly 30–31°C. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind gust timing, and any residual moisture advection create the narrow spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes reflected in trader positioning. Updated HKO guidance and refined numerical model runs before the 18th will further narrow the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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