**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C minimum temperature for Hong Kong on September 17, 2026, at 91.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects official Hong Kong Observatory data and forecasts showing overnight lows stabilizing near 27°C across urban stations (e.g., 27.0°C recorded at the Observatory and multiple sites from midnight onward), with the full-day range projected at 27–32°C under a persistent northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone. These conditions deliver generally fine, dry weather with light east to northeasterly winds, suppressing radiative cooling and keeping minimums elevated compared to more variable patterns. Historical September baselines and recent model consensus align with this outcome, as the monsoon has moderated gradually without introducing cooler air masses or significant cloud cover that could drop readings further. A shift to 26°C or lower would require unexpected developments such as localized heavy cloud or a brief wind lull enhancing overnight cooling, though current observations and short-term guidance indicate low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日香港最低气温？
9月17日香港最低气温？
27°C 91%
26°C 7%
23°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
$28,920 交易量
$28,920 交易量
2026-09-17
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
91%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
27°C 91%
26°C 7%
23°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
$28,920 交易量
$28,920 交易量
2026-09-17
21°C或以下
$86 交易量
<1%
22°C
$154 交易量
<1%
23°C
$110 交易量
1%
24°C
$56 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,481 交易量
1%
26°C
$8,001 交易量
7%
27°C
$11,413 交易量
91%
28°C
$5,192 交易量
<1%
29°C
$153 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,237 交易量
<1%
31°C或更高
$37 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C minimum temperature for Hong Kong on September 17, 2026, at 91.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects official Hong Kong Observatory data and forecasts showing overnight lows stabilizing near 27°C across urban stations (e.g., 27.0°C recorded at the Observatory and multiple sites from midnight onward), with the full-day range projected at 27–32°C under a persistent northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone. These conditions deliver generally fine, dry weather with light east to northeasterly winds, suppressing radiative cooling and keeping minimums elevated compared to more variable patterns. Historical September baselines and recent model consensus align with this outcome, as the monsoon has moderated gradually without introducing cooler air masses or significant cloud cover that could drop readings further.
A shift to 26°C or lower would require unexpected developments such as localized heavy cloud or a brief wind lull enhancing overnight cooling, though current observations and short-term guidance indicate low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$28,920结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C minimum temperature for Hong Kong on September 17, 2026, at 91.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects official Hong Kong Observatory data and forecasts showing overnight lows stabilizing near 27°C across urban stations (e.g., 27.0°C recorded at the Observatory and multiple sites from midnight onward), with the full-day range projected at 27–32°C under a persistent northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone. These conditions deliver generally fine, dry weather with light east to northeasterly winds, suppressing radiative cooling and keeping minimums elevated compared to more variable patterns. Historical September baselines and recent model consensus align with this outcome, as the monsoon has moderated gradually without introducing cooler air masses or significant cloud cover that could drop readings further.
A shift to 26°C or lower would require unexpected developments such as localized heavy cloud or a brief wind lull enhancing overnight cooling, though current observations and short-term guidance indicate low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$28,920结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C minimum temperature for Hong Kong on September 17, 2026, at 91.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects official Hong Kong Observatory data and forecasts showing overnight lows stabilizing near 27°C across urban stations (e.g., 27.0°C recorded at the Observatory and multiple sites from midnight onward), with the full-day range projected at 27–32°C under a persistent northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone. These conditions deliver generally fine, dry weather with light east to northeasterly winds, suppressing radiative cooling and keeping minimums elevated compared to more variable patterns. Historical September baselines and recent model consensus align with this outcome, as the monsoon has moderated gradually without introducing cooler air masses or significant cloud cover that could drop readings further. A shift to 26°C or lower would require unexpected developments such as localized heavy cloud or a brief wind lull enhancing overnight cooling, though current observations and short-term guidance indicate low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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