Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and GFS model runs indicate a maximum of 24–25°C for Tokyo on September 17, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and morning showers that limit insolation and advect cooler maritime air. Cloud cover remaining 50–80% through the afternoon, combined with surface winds of 10–15 mph from the northeast, has suppressed the diurnal rise below the late-September climatological average of 26.5°C. Current observations show afternoon readings stabilizing near 24°C under partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market’s 62% implied probability on 24°C and 22.5% on 25°C. Updated JMA guidance and next model cycle later today will refine whether any late-day clearing allows a brief push to 25°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日东京气温最高？
9月17日东京气温最高？
24℃ 76%
25°C 20%
26°C 4%
27°C <1%
最新
$29,034 交易量
最新
$29,034 交易量
2026-09-17
19°C及以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24℃
73%
25°C
25%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
24℃ 76%
25°C 20%
26°C 4%
27°C <1%
最新
$29,034 交易量
最新
$29,034 交易量
2026-09-17
19°C及以下
$1,314 交易量
<1%
20°C
$883 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,562 交易量
<1%
22°C
$4,239 交易量
<1%
23°C
$7,219 交易量
<1%
24℃
$3,526 交易量
73%
25°C
$3,977 交易量
25%
26°C
$1,762 交易量
4%
27°C
$1,336 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,478 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$1,738 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and GFS model runs indicate a maximum of 24–25°C for Tokyo on September 17, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and morning showers that limit insolation and advect cooler maritime air. Cloud cover remaining 50–80% through the afternoon, combined with surface winds of 10–15 mph from the northeast, has suppressed the diurnal rise below the late-September climatological average of 26.5°C. Current observations show afternoon readings stabilizing near 24°C under partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market’s 62% implied probability on 24°C and 22.5% on 25°C. Updated JMA guidance and next model cycle later today will refine whether any late-day clearing allows a brief push to 25°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$29,034结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and GFS model runs indicate a maximum of 24–25°C for Tokyo on September 17, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and morning showers that limit insolation and advect cooler maritime air. Cloud cover remaining 50–80% through the afternoon, combined with surface winds of 10–15 mph from the northeast, has suppressed the diurnal rise below the late-September climatological average of 26.5°C. Current observations show afternoon readings stabilizing near 24°C under partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market’s 62% implied probability on 24°C and 22.5% on 25°C. Updated JMA guidance and next model cycle later today will refine whether any late-day clearing allows a brief push to 25°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,034结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and GFS model runs indicate a maximum of 24–25°C for Tokyo on September 17, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and morning showers that limit insolation and advect cooler maritime air. Cloud cover remaining 50–80% through the afternoon, combined with surface winds of 10–15 mph from the northeast, has suppressed the diurnal rise below the late-September climatological average of 26.5°C. Current observations show afternoon readings stabilizing near 24°C under partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market’s 62% implied probability on 24°C and 22.5% on 25°C. Updated JMA guidance and next model cycle later today will refine whether any late-day clearing allows a brief push to 25°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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