Current forecasts from European and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 19 near 14–16 °C under southwesterly flow, with partial cloud cover and light rain limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports roughly equal market-implied odds for an 11 °C-or-below low versus a 20 °C minimum, as modest changes in wind speed or timing of any clearer intervals could shift the overnight low by 2–3 °C. Persistent Atlantic moisture and above-climatological sea-surface temperatures reduce the chance of sharp cooling, while any strengthening of the pressure gradient would favor the higher end of the range. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24 hours will refine the precise minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日阿姆斯特丹最低气温？
9月19日阿姆斯特丹最低气温？
16°C 52%
14°C 39%
15°C 39%
17°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
11°C或以下
2%
12°C
11%
13°C
19%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
52%
17°C
30%
18°C
11%
19°C
7%
20°C
2%
21°C或更高
2%
16°C 52%
14°C 39%
15°C 39%
17°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
11°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
12°C
$0 交易量
11%
13°C
$0 交易量
19%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16°C
$10 交易量
52%
17°C
$6 交易量
30%
18°C
$0 交易量
11%
19°C
$0 交易量
7%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 19 near 14–16 °C under southwesterly flow, with partial cloud cover and light rain limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports roughly equal market-implied odds for an 11 °C-or-below low versus a 20 °C minimum, as modest changes in wind speed or timing of any clearer intervals could shift the overnight low by 2–3 °C. Persistent Atlantic moisture and above-climatological sea-surface temperatures reduce the chance of sharp cooling, while any strengthening of the pressure gradient would favor the higher end of the range. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24 hours will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$17结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 19 near 14–16 °C under southwesterly flow, with partial cloud cover and light rain limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports roughly equal market-implied odds for an 11 °C-or-below low versus a 20 °C minimum, as modest changes in wind speed or timing of any clearer intervals could shift the overnight low by 2–3 °C. Persistent Atlantic moisture and above-climatological sea-surface temperatures reduce the chance of sharp cooling, while any strengthening of the pressure gradient would favor the higher end of the range. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24 hours will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from European and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 19 near 14–16 °C under southwesterly flow, with partial cloud cover and light rain limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports roughly equal market-implied odds for an 11 °C-or-below low versus a 20 °C minimum, as modest changes in wind speed or timing of any clearer intervals could shift the overnight low by 2–3 °C. Persistent Atlantic moisture and above-climatological sea-surface temperatures reduce the chance of sharp cooling, while any strengthening of the pressure gradient would favor the higher end of the range. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24 hours will refine the precise minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题