Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a mostly sunny to partly cloudy pattern over Dallas on September 20 with southerly flow and only isolated afternoon storm chances, keeping afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 90s. This forecast aligns with the market-implied probabilities clustering around 96–97 °F and nearby bins, while the 49 % on 89 °F or below appears to reflect trader weighting of model spread and the small but non-zero risk that increased cloud cover or earlier convection could suppress the daily maximum. No major cold-front passage is indicated in the latest runs, so any further downward revision in odds for the cooler bins would likely require an updated NHC or local office guidance showing stronger easterly or northerly flow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日达拉斯的最高温度？
9月20日达拉斯的最高温度？
98-99°F 50%
100-101°F 34%
96-97华氏度 28%
102-103°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
89°F或以下
5%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
11%
96-97华氏度
28%
98-99°F
50%
100-101°F
34%
102-103°F
18%
104-105°F
11%
106-107°F
6%
108°F或更高
5%
98-99°F 50%
100-101°F 34%
96-97华氏度 28%
102-103°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
89°F或以下
$0 交易量
5%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
5%
92-93°F
$0 交易量
7%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
11%
96-97华氏度
$6 交易量
28%
98-99°F
$293 交易量
50%
100-101°F
$0 交易量
34%
102-103°F
$0 交易量
18%
104-105°F
$0 交易量
11%
106-107°F
$0 交易量
6%
108°F或更高
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a mostly sunny to partly cloudy pattern over Dallas on September 20 with southerly flow and only isolated afternoon storm chances, keeping afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 90s. This forecast aligns with the market-implied probabilities clustering around 96–97 °F and nearby bins, while the 49 % on 89 °F or below appears to reflect trader weighting of model spread and the small but non-zero risk that increased cloud cover or earlier convection could suppress the daily maximum. No major cold-front passage is indicated in the latest runs, so any further downward revision in odds for the cooler bins would likely require an updated NHC or local office guidance showing stronger easterly or northerly flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$299结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a mostly sunny to partly cloudy pattern over Dallas on September 20 with southerly flow and only isolated afternoon storm chances, keeping afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 90s. This forecast aligns with the market-implied probabilities clustering around 96–97 °F and nearby bins, while the 49 % on 89 °F or below appears to reflect trader weighting of model spread and the small but non-zero risk that increased cloud cover or earlier convection could suppress the daily maximum. No major cold-front passage is indicated in the latest runs, so any further downward revision in odds for the cooler bins would likely require an updated NHC or local office guidance showing stronger easterly or northerly flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$299结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a mostly sunny to partly cloudy pattern over Dallas on September 20 with southerly flow and only isolated afternoon storm chances, keeping afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 90s. This forecast aligns with the market-implied probabilities clustering around 96–97 °F and nearby bins, while the 49 % on 89 °F or below appears to reflect trader weighting of model spread and the small but non-zero risk that increased cloud cover or earlier convection could suppress the daily maximum. No major cold-front passage is indicated in the latest runs, so any further downward revision in odds for the cooler bins would likely require an updated NHC or local office guidance showing stronger easterly or northerly flow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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