**Market-implied odds favor a 15°C high in Wellington on September 18 at 58%, followed by 14°C (21.5%) and 16°C (17%).** Official MetService guidance and supporting numerical models project a daytime maximum of 15°C under clearing conditions after morning showers, as southerly winds ease following today's frontal passage. This outcome sits modestly above the September climatological average high of roughly 12.5°C. Traders are weighting the latest forecast consensus and expected station observations (typically Kelburn or airport data), with limited upside risk from lingering cloud or wind. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月18日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 58%
14°C 22%
16°C 16%
13°C 3%
最新
$10,645 交易量
最新
$10,645 交易量
2026-09-18
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
22%
15°C
58%
16°C
16%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C或更高
<1%
15°C 58%
14°C 22%
16°C 16%
13°C 3%
最新
$10,645 交易量
最新
$10,645 交易量
2026-09-18
9°C或以下
$253 交易量
<1%
10°C
$299 交易量
<1%
11°C
$333 交易量
<1%
12°C
$561 交易量
1%
13°C
$865 交易量
3%
14°C
$1,545 交易量
22%
15°C
$3,035 交易量
58%
16°C
$2,246 交易量
16%
17°C
$676 交易量
2%
18°C
$552 交易量
1%
19°C或更高
$279 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a 15°C high in Wellington on September 18 at 58%, followed by 14°C (21.5%) and 16°C (17%).** Official MetService guidance and supporting numerical models project a daytime maximum of 15°C under clearing conditions after morning showers, as southerly winds ease following today's frontal passage. This outcome sits modestly above the September climatological average high of roughly 12.5°C. Traders are weighting the latest forecast consensus and expected station observations (typically Kelburn or airport data), with limited upside risk from lingering cloud or wind. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,645结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a 15°C high in Wellington on September 18 at 58%, followed by 14°C (21.5%) and 16°C (17%).** Official MetService guidance and supporting numerical models project a daytime maximum of 15°C under clearing conditions after morning showers, as southerly winds ease following today's frontal passage. This outcome sits modestly above the September climatological average high of roughly 12.5°C. Traders are weighting the latest forecast consensus and expected station observations (typically Kelburn or airport data), with limited upside risk from lingering cloud or wind. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,645结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Market-implied odds favor a 15°C high in Wellington on September 18 at 58%, followed by 14°C (21.5%) and 16°C (17%).** Official MetService guidance and supporting numerical models project a daytime maximum of 15°C under clearing conditions after morning showers, as southerly winds ease following today's frontal passage. This outcome sits modestly above the September climatological average high of roughly 12.5°C. Traders are weighting the latest forecast consensus and expected station observations (typically Kelburn or airport data), with limited upside risk from lingering cloud or wind. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题