**Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF runs as of September 18 indicate a peak temperature near 24°C on September 20 in Munich, supported by a mild westerly flow under partly cloudy skies with light winds around 7-10 mph and minimal precipitation risk.** This setup favors daytime warming above the 1991-2020 average high of 19.1°C, consistent with the warmer-than-normal September pattern observed so far, including multiple days exceeding 25°C earlier in the month. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 23-25°C, with the highest probabilities aligning to 24°C given stable high pressure and no strong cold advection or extensive cloud cover expected. Traders appear to weigh these short-range model outputs and recent observational trends heavily, with the market-implied odds reflecting the tight clustering of guidance ahead of final resolution based on official DWD measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日慕尼黑最高温度？
9月20日慕尼黑最高温度？
24°C 46%
23°C 37%
25°C 18%
22°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
37%
24°C
46%
25°C
18%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C或更高
2%
24°C 46%
23°C 37%
25°C 18%
22°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
18°C或以下
$31 交易量
<1%
19°C
$5 交易量
2%
20°C
$5 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
2%
22°C
$31 交易量
4%
23°C
$128 交易量
37%
24°C
$2,121 交易量
46%
25°C
$165 交易量
18%
26°C
$0 交易量
2%
27°C
$0 交易量
2%
28°C或更高
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF runs as of September 18 indicate a peak temperature near 24°C on September 20 in Munich, supported by a mild westerly flow under partly cloudy skies with light winds around 7-10 mph and minimal precipitation risk.** This setup favors daytime warming above the 1991-2020 average high of 19.1°C, consistent with the warmer-than-normal September pattern observed so far, including multiple days exceeding 25°C earlier in the month. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 23-25°C, with the highest probabilities aligning to 24°C given stable high pressure and no strong cold advection or extensive cloud cover expected. Traders appear to weigh these short-range model outputs and recent observational trends heavily, with the market-implied odds reflecting the tight clustering of guidance ahead of final resolution based on official DWD measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,491结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF runs as of September 18 indicate a peak temperature near 24°C on September 20 in Munich, supported by a mild westerly flow under partly cloudy skies with light winds around 7-10 mph and minimal precipitation risk.** This setup favors daytime warming above the 1991-2020 average high of 19.1°C, consistent with the warmer-than-normal September pattern observed so far, including multiple days exceeding 25°C earlier in the month. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 23-25°C, with the highest probabilities aligning to 24°C given stable high pressure and no strong cold advection or extensive cloud cover expected. Traders appear to weigh these short-range model outputs and recent observational trends heavily, with the market-implied odds reflecting the tight clustering of guidance ahead of final resolution based on official DWD measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,491结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF runs as of September 18 indicate a peak temperature near 24°C on September 20 in Munich, supported by a mild westerly flow under partly cloudy skies with light winds around 7-10 mph and minimal precipitation risk.** This setup favors daytime warming above the 1991-2020 average high of 19.1°C, consistent with the warmer-than-normal September pattern observed so far, including multiple days exceeding 25°C earlier in the month. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 23-25°C, with the highest probabilities aligning to 24°C given stable high pressure and no strong cold advection or extensive cloud cover expected. Traders appear to weigh these short-range model outputs and recent observational trends heavily, with the market-implied odds reflecting the tight clustering of guidance ahead of final resolution based on official DWD measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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