Recent forecast models from the German Weather Service and global ensembles point to radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds overnight, positioning Munich’s daily minimum near 8–10°C on September 19. Current observations show temperatures rising from morning readings around 11–12°C toward afternoon highs near 22°C, consistent with September climatology where the average low is 9.7°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 86.5% implied probability for 8°C aligns with these stable model outputs, while lower probabilities for 7°C or below capture residual uncertainty from minor variations in wind or cloud cover that could alter the final observed minimum at official stations. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日慕尼黑最低气温？
9月19日慕尼黑最低气温？
8°C 98%
7°C 61%
6°C或以下 28%
9°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
6°C或以下
28%
7°C
61%
8°C
98%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C或更高
<1%
8°C 98%
7°C 61%
6°C或以下 28%
9°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
6°C或以下
$44 交易量
28%
7°C
$175 交易量
61%
8°C
$106 交易量
98%
9°C
$110 交易量
<1%
10°C
$114 交易量
<1%
11°C
$37 交易量
<1%
12°C
$37 交易量
<1%
13°C
$37 交易量
<1%
14°C
$22 交易量
<1%
15°C
$37 交易量
<1%
16°C或更高
$57 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the German Weather Service and global ensembles point to radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds overnight, positioning Munich’s daily minimum near 8–10°C on September 19. Current observations show temperatures rising from morning readings around 11–12°C toward afternoon highs near 22°C, consistent with September climatology where the average low is 9.7°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 86.5% implied probability for 8°C aligns with these stable model outputs, while lower probabilities for 7°C or below capture residual uncertainty from minor variations in wind or cloud cover that could alter the final observed minimum at official stations. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$776结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the German Weather Service and global ensembles point to radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds overnight, positioning Munich’s daily minimum near 8–10°C on September 19. Current observations show temperatures rising from morning readings around 11–12°C toward afternoon highs near 22°C, consistent with September climatology where the average low is 9.7°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 86.5% implied probability for 8°C aligns with these stable model outputs, while lower probabilities for 7°C or below capture residual uncertainty from minor variations in wind or cloud cover that could alter the final observed minimum at official stations. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$776结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecast models from the German Weather Service and global ensembles point to radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds overnight, positioning Munich’s daily minimum near 8–10°C on September 19. Current observations show temperatures rising from morning readings around 11–12°C toward afternoon highs near 22°C, consistent with September climatology where the average low is 9.7°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 86.5% implied probability for 8°C aligns with these stable model outputs, while lower probabilities for 7°C or below capture residual uncertainty from minor variations in wind or cloud cover that could alter the final observed minimum at official stations. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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