**Strong high-pressure conditions over southern China are driving trader consensus toward a 33°C peak in Hong Kong on September 19.** The Hong Kong Observatory forecasts generally fine, dry, and hot weather under an upper-level anticyclone, with urban maximums near 32°C and slightly higher readings possible in the New Territories. Real-time station data show afternoon temperatures climbing into the low-to-mid 30s°C amid light easterly winds and humidity levels supporting efficient daytime heating. This aligns with typical late-September climatology for the region when subtropical ridges suppress cloud cover and rainfall. A modest 0.5% market-implied probability for 34°C reflects the small chance that localized heating or slight forecast adjustments could push the official maximum one degree higher, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent unexpected convective development or measurement revisions before the daily close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日香港气温最高？
9月19日香港气温最高？
33°C 99.6%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
26°C或以下 <1%
$95,965 交易量
$95,965 交易量
2026-09-19
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
33°C 99.6%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
26°C或以下 <1%
$95,965 交易量
$95,965 交易量
2026-09-19
26°C或以下
$309 交易量
<1%
27°C
$125 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,358 交易量
<1%
29°C
$5,348 交易量
<1%
30°C
$11,908 交易量
<1%
31°C
$18,982 交易量
<1%
32°C
$15,800 交易量
<1%
33°C
$32,551 交易量
100%
34°C
$8,704 交易量
1%
35°C
$718 交易量
<1%
36°C或更高
$163 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Strong high-pressure conditions over southern China are driving trader consensus toward a 33°C peak in Hong Kong on September 19.** The Hong Kong Observatory forecasts generally fine, dry, and hot weather under an upper-level anticyclone, with urban maximums near 32°C and slightly higher readings possible in the New Territories. Real-time station data show afternoon temperatures climbing into the low-to-mid 30s°C amid light easterly winds and humidity levels supporting efficient daytime heating. This aligns with typical late-September climatology for the region when subtropical ridges suppress cloud cover and rainfall. A modest 0.5% market-implied probability for 34°C reflects the small chance that localized heating or slight forecast adjustments could push the official maximum one degree higher, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent unexpected convective development or measurement revisions before the daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$95,965结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Strong high-pressure conditions over southern China are driving trader consensus toward a 33°C peak in Hong Kong on September 19.** The Hong Kong Observatory forecasts generally fine, dry, and hot weather under an upper-level anticyclone, with urban maximums near 32°C and slightly higher readings possible in the New Territories. Real-time station data show afternoon temperatures climbing into the low-to-mid 30s°C amid light easterly winds and humidity levels supporting efficient daytime heating. This aligns with typical late-September climatology for the region when subtropical ridges suppress cloud cover and rainfall. A modest 0.5% market-implied probability for 34°C reflects the small chance that localized heating or slight forecast adjustments could push the official maximum one degree higher, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent unexpected convective development or measurement revisions before the daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$95,965结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Strong high-pressure conditions over southern China are driving trader consensus toward a 33°C peak in Hong Kong on September 19.** The Hong Kong Observatory forecasts generally fine, dry, and hot weather under an upper-level anticyclone, with urban maximums near 32°C and slightly higher readings possible in the New Territories. Real-time station data show afternoon temperatures climbing into the low-to-mid 30s°C amid light easterly winds and humidity levels supporting efficient daytime heating. This aligns with typical late-September climatology for the region when subtropical ridges suppress cloud cover and rainfall. A modest 0.5% market-implied probability for 34°C reflects the small chance that localized heating or slight forecast adjustments could push the official maximum one degree higher, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent unexpected convective development or measurement revisions before the daily close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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