High pressure from a subtropical anticyclone over southern China is sustaining clear to partly sunny skies and strong daytime heating across Hong Kong, driving market-implied odds toward a 31–33 °C peak on 20 September. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–32 °C range with low rain probability early in the day, though localized afternoon showers could limit insolation and cap the maximum. Light easterly winds and moderate humidity (55–90 %) will modulate boundary-layer mixing and evaporative cooling, while model consensus on shower timing and coverage introduces the narrow spread between the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations tomorrow morning will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日香港气温最高？
9月20日香港气温最高？
32°C 39%
33℃ 30%
31°C 21%
30°C 3%
最新
$16,429 交易量
最新
$16,429 交易量
2026-09-20
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
21%
32°C
39%
33℃
30%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
32°C 39%
33℃ 30%
31°C 21%
30°C 3%
最新
$16,429 交易量
最新
$16,429 交易量
2026-09-20
26°C或以下
$261 交易量
<1%
27°C
$513 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,409 交易量
<1%
29°C
$387 交易量
1%
30°C
$1,843 交易量
3%
31°C
$2,476 交易量
21%
32°C
$2,533 交易量
39%
33℃
$5,251 交易量
30%
34°C
$638 交易量
3%
35°C
$402 交易量
<1%
36°C或更高
$717 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.High pressure from a subtropical anticyclone over southern China is sustaining clear to partly sunny skies and strong daytime heating across Hong Kong, driving market-implied odds toward a 31–33 °C peak on 20 September. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–32 °C range with low rain probability early in the day, though localized afternoon showers could limit insolation and cap the maximum. Light easterly winds and moderate humidity (55–90 %) will modulate boundary-layer mixing and evaporative cooling, while model consensus on shower timing and coverage introduces the narrow spread between the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations tomorrow morning will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$16,429结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.High pressure from a subtropical anticyclone over southern China is sustaining clear to partly sunny skies and strong daytime heating across Hong Kong, driving market-implied odds toward a 31–33 °C peak on 20 September. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–32 °C range with low rain probability early in the day, though localized afternoon showers could limit insolation and cap the maximum. Light easterly winds and moderate humidity (55–90 %) will modulate boundary-layer mixing and evaporative cooling, while model consensus on shower timing and coverage introduces the narrow spread between the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations tomorrow morning will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$16,429结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETHigh pressure from a subtropical anticyclone over southern China is sustaining clear to partly sunny skies and strong daytime heating across Hong Kong, driving market-implied odds toward a 31–33 °C peak on 20 September. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–32 °C range with low rain probability early in the day, though localized afternoon showers could limit insolation and cap the maximum. Light easterly winds and moderate humidity (55–90 %) will modulate boundary-layer mixing and evaporative cooling, while model consensus on shower timing and coverage introduces the narrow spread between the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations tomorrow morning will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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