**Forecast models for Qingdao on September 21 show highs clustered around 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies and a wind shift from southerly to northerly flow.** This range reflects the moderating effect of the Yellow Sea, which limits daytime heating through sea breezes and higher humidity, combined with variable cloud cover that can reduce solar insolation by 20–40%. Sources such as local meteorological services and global models (e.g., GFS, ECMWF analogs) consistently project multi-cloud conditions with highs near 28–29°C, though slight differences in predicted cloud thickness or wind timing create the tight spread seen in trader odds. With no strong frontal systems or anomalous ridging expected, the market-implied probabilities capture this genuine short-range uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日青岛气温最高？
9月21日青岛气温最高？
29°C 26%
28°C 23%
30°C 21%
32°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
25°C或以下
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
23%
29°C
26%
30°C
21%
31°C
11%
32°C
18%
33°C
5%
34°C
6%
35°C或更高
4%
29°C 26%
28°C 23%
30°C 21%
32°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
25°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
26°C
$0 交易量
4%
27°C
$0 交易量
9%
28°C
$0 交易量
23%
29°C
$0 交易量
26%
30°C
$70 交易量
21%
31°C
$42 交易量
11%
32°C
$0 交易量
18%
33°C
$0 交易量
5%
34°C
$0 交易量
6%
35°C或更高
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Qingdao on September 21 show highs clustered around 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies and a wind shift from southerly to northerly flow.** This range reflects the moderating effect of the Yellow Sea, which limits daytime heating through sea breezes and higher humidity, combined with variable cloud cover that can reduce solar insolation by 20–40%. Sources such as local meteorological services and global models (e.g., GFS, ECMWF analogs) consistently project multi-cloud conditions with highs near 28–29°C, though slight differences in predicted cloud thickness or wind timing create the tight spread seen in trader odds. With no strong frontal systems or anomalous ridging expected, the market-implied probabilities capture this genuine short-range uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$112结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Qingdao on September 21 show highs clustered around 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies and a wind shift from southerly to northerly flow.** This range reflects the moderating effect of the Yellow Sea, which limits daytime heating through sea breezes and higher humidity, combined with variable cloud cover that can reduce solar insolation by 20–40%. Sources such as local meteorological services and global models (e.g., GFS, ECMWF analogs) consistently project multi-cloud conditions with highs near 28–29°C, though slight differences in predicted cloud thickness or wind timing create the tight spread seen in trader odds. With no strong frontal systems or anomalous ridging expected, the market-implied probabilities capture this genuine short-range uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$112结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ET**Forecast models for Qingdao on September 21 show highs clustered around 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies and a wind shift from southerly to northerly flow.** This range reflects the moderating effect of the Yellow Sea, which limits daytime heating through sea breezes and higher humidity, combined with variable cloud cover that can reduce solar insolation by 20–40%. Sources such as local meteorological services and global models (e.g., GFS, ECMWF analogs) consistently project multi-cloud conditions with highs near 28–29°C, though slight differences in predicted cloud thickness or wind timing create the tight spread seen in trader odds. With no strong frontal systems or anomalous ridging expected, the market-implied probabilities capture this genuine short-range uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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