Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and multiple models converge on a peak of 33–34°C today under mostly sunny skies, positioning 34°C as the clear market leader. Chengdu’s location in the Sichuan Basin promotes heat retention through limited ventilation and elevated humidity, sustaining “autumn tiger” conditions typical of early September before seasonal rains arrive. Afternoon observations have already reached the low-to-mid 30s with light winds and minimal cloud cover, while ensemble guidance shows only modest upside risk to 35°C. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum reported by local authorities, with traders weighting the strong consensus and limited model spread for the current 83.5% implied probability on 34°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日成都气温最高？
9月5日成都气温最高？
34°C 95%
35°C 7%
36°C 2%
37°C <1%
$31,358 交易量
$31,358 交易量
2026-09-05
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
95%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C或更高
<1%
34°C 95%
35°C 7%
36°C 2%
37°C <1%
$31,358 交易量
$31,358 交易量
2026-09-05
28°C或以下
$1,156 交易量
<1%
29°C
$2,114 交易量
<1%
30°C
$879 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,596 交易量
<1%
32°C
$3,731 交易量
<1%
33°C
$4,722 交易量
<1%
34°C
$4,246 交易量
95%
35°C
$3,880 交易量
7%
36°C
$3,009 交易量
2%
37°C
$1,157 交易量
1%
38°C或更高
$4,868 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and multiple models converge on a peak of 33–34°C today under mostly sunny skies, positioning 34°C as the clear market leader. Chengdu’s location in the Sichuan Basin promotes heat retention through limited ventilation and elevated humidity, sustaining “autumn tiger” conditions typical of early September before seasonal rains arrive. Afternoon observations have already reached the low-to-mid 30s with light winds and minimal cloud cover, while ensemble guidance shows only modest upside risk to 35°C. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum reported by local authorities, with traders weighting the strong consensus and limited model spread for the current 83.5% implied probability on 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$31,358结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and multiple models converge on a peak of 33–34°C today under mostly sunny skies, positioning 34°C as the clear market leader. Chengdu’s location in the Sichuan Basin promotes heat retention through limited ventilation and elevated humidity, sustaining “autumn tiger” conditions typical of early September before seasonal rains arrive. Afternoon observations have already reached the low-to-mid 30s with light winds and minimal cloud cover, while ensemble guidance shows only modest upside risk to 35°C. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum reported by local authorities, with traders weighting the strong consensus and limited model spread for the current 83.5% implied probability on 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,358结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and multiple models converge on a peak of 33–34°C today under mostly sunny skies, positioning 34°C as the clear market leader. Chengdu’s location in the Sichuan Basin promotes heat retention through limited ventilation and elevated humidity, sustaining “autumn tiger” conditions typical of early September before seasonal rains arrive. Afternoon observations have already reached the low-to-mid 30s with light winds and minimal cloud cover, while ensemble guidance shows only modest upside risk to 35°C. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum reported by local authorities, with traders weighting the strong consensus and limited model spread for the current 83.5% implied probability on 34°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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