Close trader odds around 23–25°C for Taipei’s September 18 minimum reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in the overnight low, driven by variable cloud cover and light wind patterns that control radiative cooling rates in the city’s subtropical environment. Persistent high humidity and urban heat-island effects from the surrounding terrain limit sharp drops, while any increase in clear-sky intervals or northerly flow could allow temperatures to reach the lower end of the range. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model spreads show only modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression through dawn, keeping the 22–26°C band tightly contested. Updated model runs later today will likely refine the final resolution range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日臺北最低氣溫？
9月18日臺北最低氣溫？
26°C 96%
20°C或以下 90%
21°C 90%
25°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
20°C或以下
90%
21°C
90%
22°C
48%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
96%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
26°C 96%
20°C或以下 90%
21°C 90%
25°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
90%
21°C
$0 交易量
90%
22°C
$15 交易量
48%
23°C
$0 交易量
50%
24°C
$0 交易量
50%
25°C
$0 交易量
50%
26°C
$0 交易量
96%
27°C
$41 交易量
<1%
28°C
$46 交易量
<1%
29°C
$41 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$41 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close trader odds around 23–25°C for Taipei’s September 18 minimum reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in the overnight low, driven by variable cloud cover and light wind patterns that control radiative cooling rates in the city’s subtropical environment. Persistent high humidity and urban heat-island effects from the surrounding terrain limit sharp drops, while any increase in clear-sky intervals or northerly flow could allow temperatures to reach the lower end of the range. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model spreads show only modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression through dawn, keeping the 22–26°C band tightly contested. Updated model runs later today will likely refine the final resolution range.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$184結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close trader odds around 23–25°C for Taipei’s September 18 minimum reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in the overnight low, driven by variable cloud cover and light wind patterns that control radiative cooling rates in the city’s subtropical environment. Persistent high humidity and urban heat-island effects from the surrounding terrain limit sharp drops, while any increase in clear-sky intervals or northerly flow could allow temperatures to reach the lower end of the range. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model spreads show only modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression through dawn, keeping the 22–26°C band tightly contested. Updated model runs later today will likely refine the final resolution range.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$184結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETClose trader odds around 23–25°C for Taipei’s September 18 minimum reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in the overnight low, driven by variable cloud cover and light wind patterns that control radiative cooling rates in the city’s subtropical environment. Persistent high humidity and urban heat-island effects from the surrounding terrain limit sharp drops, while any increase in clear-sky intervals or northerly flow could allow temperatures to reach the lower end of the range. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model spreads show only modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression through dawn, keeping the 22–26°C band tightly contested. Updated model runs later today will likely refine the final resolution range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions