Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs positions Shanghai's overnight low on September 19 near 24–25°C, driving the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and light rain or drizzle limit radiational cooling under high humidity near 80–90%, keeping minimums elevated compared with September climatology. Official guidance shows little model spread on steering or intensity, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any clearing that could allow a brief dip toward 23°C. No major frontal passages or typhoon influences are expected in the next 24 hours to alter the pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日上海最低溫度？
9月19日上海最低溫度？
25°C 63%
24°C 35%
23°C 5%
26°C 3.6%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
5%
24°C
35%
25°C
63%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
25°C 63%
24°C 35%
23°C 5%
26°C 3.6%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
19°C或以下
$57 交易量
<1%
20°C
$41 交易量
<1%
21°C
$281 交易量
<1%
22°C
$508 交易量
<1%
23°C
$780 交易量
5%
24°C
$2,214 交易量
35%
25°C
$2,266 交易量
63%
26°C
$449 交易量
4%
27°C
$465 交易量
<1%
28°C
$89 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$41 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs positions Shanghai's overnight low on September 19 near 24–25°C, driving the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and light rain or drizzle limit radiational cooling under high humidity near 80–90%, keeping minimums elevated compared with September climatology. Official guidance shows little model spread on steering or intensity, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any clearing that could allow a brief dip toward 23°C. No major frontal passages or typhoon influences are expected in the next 24 hours to alter the pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$7,191結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs positions Shanghai's overnight low on September 19 near 24–25°C, driving the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and light rain or drizzle limit radiational cooling under high humidity near 80–90%, keeping minimums elevated compared with September climatology. Official guidance shows little model spread on steering or intensity, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any clearing that could allow a brief dip toward 23°C. No major frontal passages or typhoon influences are expected in the next 24 hours to alter the pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,191結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs positions Shanghai's overnight low on September 19 near 24–25°C, driving the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and light rain or drizzle limit radiational cooling under high humidity near 80–90%, keeping minimums elevated compared with September climatology. Official guidance shows little model spread on steering or intensity, with the primary uncertainty tied to exact timing of any clearing that could allow a brief dip toward 23°C. No major frontal passages or typhoon influences are expected in the next 24 hours to alter the pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions